Fastball horizontal break
- 2026 actual
- —
- SP forecast
- 6.5 in
- RP forecast
- 6.4 in
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| Component | 2026 actual | SP forecast | RP forecast | Chosen role |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raw stuff | ||||
| Fastball horizontal break | — | 6.5 in | 6.4 in | — |
| Fastball induced vertical break | — | 19.2 in | 19.2 in | — |
| Primary fastball velocity | — | 92.9 mph | 93.5 mph | — |
| First secondary movement | — | 16.9 in | 17.0 in | — |
| Second secondary movement | — | 6.1 in | 6.3 in | — |
| Stuff+ | 103 | 100 | 101 | — |
| Primary fastball Stuff+ | — | 98 | 100 | — |
| First secondary Stuff+ | — | 101 | 102 | — |
| Second secondary Stuff+ | — | 94 | 95 | — |
| Command | ||||
| PLoc+ | — | 88 | 88 | — |
| Zone rate | 48.8% | 50.6% | 50.4% | — |
| Hitter reaction | ||||
| Chase rate | 30.1% | 28.3% | 28.9% | — |
| Whiff rate | 26.6% | 24.3% | 26.1% | — |
| Contact | ||||
| Barrel rate | 9.5% | 8.5% | 6.9% | — |
| Ground-ball rate | 24.8% | 27.7% | 29.7% | — |
| Hard-hit rate | 38.1% | 40.5% | 38.0% | — |
| HR/FB above expected | — | 0.2 pp | 0.2 pp | — |
| Results | ||||
| Walk rate | 12.8% | 9.5% | 9.7% | — |
| Strikeout rate | 28.3% | 23.3% | 25.3% | — |
| Usage | ||||
| Breaking-ball usage | — | 11.4% | 12.0% | — |
| All fastball usage | — | 84.0% | 84.0% | — |
| Primary fastball usage | — | 8.0% | 8.6% | — |
| Offspeed usage | — | 2.5% | 1.6% | — |
| Other pitch usage | — | 0.4% | 0.7% | — |
| First secondary usage | — | 74.3% | 75.6% | — |
| Second secondary usage | — | 11.8% | 11.0% | — |