Fastball horizontal break
- 2026 actual
- —
- SP · chosen
- 8.9 in
- RP forecast
- 8.9 in
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| Scenario | ERA | WHIP | K% | BB% | GB% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SP · chosen | 4.73 | 1.33 | 18.9% | 8.1% | 31.8% |
| RP | 4.27 | 1.29 | 21.0% | 8.4% | 33.8% |
| Component | 2026 actual | SP forecast | RP forecast | Chosen role |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raw stuff | ||||
| Fastball horizontal break | — | 8.9 in | 8.9 in | 8.9 in |
| Fastball induced vertical break | — | 16.4 in | 16.4 in | 16.4 in |
| Primary fastball velocity | — | 92.5 mph | 93.0 mph | 92.5 mph |
| First secondary movement | — | 5.2 in | 5.4 in | 5.2 in |
| Second secondary movement | — | 14.7 in | 14.8 in | 14.7 in |
| Stuff+ | 96 | 96 | 97 | 96 |
| Primary fastball Stuff+ | — | 97 | 99 | 97 |
| First secondary Stuff+ | — | 96 | 97 | 96 |
| Second secondary Stuff+ | — | 90 | 91 | 90 |
| Command | ||||
| PLoc+ | — | 107 | 107 | 107 |
| Zone rate | 47.0% | 48.6% | 48.3% | 48.6% |
| Hitter reaction | ||||
| Chase rate | 32.3% | 30.2% | 30.8% | 30.2% |
| Whiff rate | 21.3% | 21.9% | 23.7% | 21.9% |
| Contact | ||||
| Barrel rate | 8.1% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 7.9% |
| Ground-ball rate | 30.9% | 31.8% | 33.8% | 31.8% |
| Hard-hit rate | 33.6% | 38.0% | 35.6% | 38.0% |
| HR/FB above expected | — | 0.3 pp | 0.3 pp | 0.3 pp |
| Results | ||||
| Walk rate | 9.6% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 8.1% |
| Strikeout rate | 18.7% | 18.9% | 21.0% | 18.9% |
| Usage | ||||
| Breaking-ball usage | — | 33.1% | 33.6% | 33.1% |
| All fastball usage | — | 50.6% | 50.6% | 50.6% |
| Primary fastball usage | — | 43.0% | 43.6% | 43.0% |
| Offspeed usage | — | 15.9% | 15.0% | 15.9% |
| Other pitch usage | — | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| First secondary usage | — | 20.7% | 21.9% | 20.7% |
| Second secondary usage | — | 15.7% | 14.9% | 15.7% |