Fastball horizontal break
- 2026 actual
- —
- SP forecast
- 14.1 in
- RP forecast
- 14.0 in
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| Component | 2026 actual | SP forecast | RP forecast | Chosen role |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raw stuff | ||||
| Fastball horizontal break | — | 14.1 in | 14.0 in | — |
| Fastball induced vertical break | — | 13.0 in | 13.0 in | — |
| Primary fastball velocity | — | 90.1 mph | 90.6 mph | — |
| First secondary movement | — | 11.4 in | 11.6 in | — |
| Second secondary movement | — | — * | — * | — |
| Stuff+ | 89 | 92 | 93 | — |
| Primary fastball Stuff+ | — | 91 | 93 | — |
| First secondary Stuff+ | — | 91 | 92 | — |
| Second secondary Stuff+ | — | — * | — * | — |
| Command | ||||
| PLoc+ | — | 101 | 101 | — |
| Zone rate | 44.9% | 47.0% | 46.7% | — |
| Hitter reaction | ||||
| Chase rate | 35.3% | 29.9% | 30.5% | — |
| Whiff rate | 28.0% | 24.4% | 26.2% | — |
| Contact | ||||
| Barrel rate | 5.6% | 7.7% | 6.1% | — |
| Ground-ball rate | 33.3% | 33.8% | 35.8% | — |
| Hard-hit rate | 47.2% | 42.5% | 40.1% | — |
| HR/FB above expected | — | 0.1 pp | 0.1 pp | — |
| Results | ||||
| Walk rate | 9.6% | 9.0% | 9.3% | — |
| Strikeout rate | 27.5% | 20.9% | 23.0% | — |
| Usage | ||||
| Breaking-ball usage | — | 2.7% | 3.3% | — |
| All fastball usage | — | 62.5% | 62.5% | — |
| Primary fastball usage | — | 56.9% | 57.5% | — |
| Offspeed usage | — | 33.8% | 32.9% | — |
| Other pitch usage | — | 0.0% | 0.3% | — |
| First secondary usage | — | 31.6% | 32.8% | — |
| Second secondary usage | — | — * | — * | — |