Fastball horizontal break
- 2026 actual
- —
- SP · chosen
- 9.5 in
- RP forecast
- 9.5 in
Loading projection…
| Scenario | ERA | WHIP | K% | BB% | GB% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SP · chosen | 4.65 | 1.35 | 18.7% | 7.8% | 40.8% |
| RP | 4.19 | 1.31 | 20.8% | 8.1% | 42.8% |
| Component | 2026 actual | SP forecast | RP forecast | Chosen role |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raw stuff | ||||
| Fastball horizontal break | — | 9.5 in | 9.5 in | 9.5 in |
| Fastball induced vertical break | — | 14.4 in | 14.5 in | 14.4 in |
| Primary fastball velocity | — | 91.7 mph | 92.2 mph | 91.7 mph |
| First secondary movement | — | 14.7 in | 14.8 in | 14.7 in |
| Second secondary movement | — | 12.9 in | 13.0 in | 12.9 in |
| Stuff+ | 96 | 97 | 98 | 97 |
| Primary fastball Stuff+ | — | 95 | 97 | 95 |
| First secondary Stuff+ | — | 100 | 101 | 100 |
| Second secondary Stuff+ | — | 98 | 99 | 98 |
| Command | ||||
| PLoc+ | — | 111 | 111 | 111 |
| Zone rate | 42.9% | 45.9% | 45.7% | 45.9% |
| Hitter reaction | ||||
| Chase rate | 35.1% | 31.0% | 31.6% | 31.0% |
| Whiff rate | 21.6% | 21.9% | 23.7% | 21.9% |
| Contact | ||||
| Barrel rate | 11.0% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 8.5% |
| Ground-ball rate | 41.5% | 40.8% | 42.8% | 40.8% |
| Hard-hit rate | 41.5% | 40.0% | 37.6% | 40.0% |
| HR/FB above expected | — | 0.2 pp | 0.2 pp | 0.2 pp |
| Results | ||||
| Walk rate | 9.9% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 7.8% |
| Strikeout rate | 16.1% | 18.7% | 20.8% | 18.7% |
| Usage | ||||
| Breaking-ball usage | — | 21.3% | 21.8% | 21.3% |
| All fastball usage | — | 51.5% | 51.5% | 51.5% |
| Primary fastball usage | — | 25.5% | 26.1% | 25.5% |
| Offspeed usage | — | 26.8% | 25.9% | 26.8% |
| Other pitch usage | — | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.5% |
| First secondary usage | — | 26.6% | 27.9% | 26.6% |
| Second secondary usage | — | 15.1% | 14.3% | 15.1% |