Fastball horizontal break
- 2026 actual
- —
- SP forecast
- 6.4 in
- RP forecast
- 6.3 in
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| Component | 2026 actual | SP forecast | RP forecast | Chosen role |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raw stuff | ||||
| Fastball horizontal break | — | 6.4 in | 6.3 in | — |
| Fastball induced vertical break | — | 15.0 in | 15.0 in | — |
| Primary fastball velocity | — | 92.6 mph | 93.2 mph | — |
| First secondary movement | — | 14.9 in | 15.1 in | — |
| Second secondary movement | — | 8.6 in | 8.7 in | — |
| Stuff+ | 100 | 98 | 99 | — |
| Primary fastball Stuff+ | — | 90 | 92 | — |
| First secondary Stuff+ | — | 106 | 107 | — |
| Second secondary Stuff+ | — | 98 | 99 | — |
| Command | ||||
| PLoc+ | — | 100 | 100 | — |
| Zone rate | 50.9% | 50.8% | 50.6% | — |
| Hitter reaction | ||||
| Chase rate | 24.2% | 26.7% | 27.3% | — |
| Whiff rate | 23.7% | 22.2% | 23.9% | — |
| Contact | ||||
| Barrel rate | 7.1% | 8.0% | 6.5% | — |
| Ground-ball rate | 44.4% | 38.2% | 40.2% | — |
| Hard-hit rate | 35.4% | 39.1% | 36.7% | — |
| HR/FB above expected | — | 0.2 pp | 0.2 pp | — |
| Results | ||||
| Walk rate | 12.3% | 9.2% | 9.4% | — |
| Strikeout rate | 22.1% | 20.0% | 22.0% | — |
| Usage | ||||
| Breaking-ball usage | — | 25.7% | 26.2% | — |
| All fastball usage | — | 70.4% | 70.4% | — |
| Primary fastball usage | — | 28.1% | 28.7% | — |
| Offspeed usage | — | 2.4% | 1.5% | — |
| Other pitch usage | — | 0.4% | 0.7% | — |
| First secondary usage | — | 24.0% | 25.2% | — |
| Second secondary usage | — | 23.2% | 22.5% | — |