Fastball horizontal break
- 2026 actual
- —
- SP forecast
- 11.7 in
- RP forecast
- 11.6 in
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| Component | 2026 actual | SP forecast | RP forecast | Chosen role |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raw stuff | ||||
| Fastball horizontal break | — | 11.7 in | 11.6 in | — |
| Fastball induced vertical break | — | 12.8 in | 12.8 in | — |
| Primary fastball velocity | — | 89.3 mph | 89.9 mph | — |
| First secondary movement | — | 6.7 in | 6.8 in | — |
| Second secondary movement | — | 12.6 in | 12.7 in | — |
| Stuff+ | 90 | 94 | 95 | — |
| Primary fastball Stuff+ | — | 94 | 95 | — |
| First secondary Stuff+ | — | 97 | 98 | — |
| Second secondary Stuff+ | — | 92 | 93 | — |
| Command | ||||
| PLoc+ | — | 90 | 90 | — |
| Zone rate | 46.1% | 47.3% | 47.1% | — |
| Hitter reaction | ||||
| Chase rate | 25.5% | 27.9% | 28.5% | — |
| Whiff rate | 17.1% | 18.8% | 20.5% | — |
| Contact | ||||
| Barrel rate | 1.4% | 6.8% | 5.3% | — |
| Ground-ball rate | 42.9% | 39.5% | 41.5% | — |
| Hard-hit rate | 21.4% | 37.1% | 34.7% | — |
| HR/FB above expected | — | 0.1 pp | 0.1 pp | — |
| Results | ||||
| Walk rate | 15.6% | 9.7% | 9.9% | — |
| Strikeout rate | 10.4% | 14.8% | 16.8% | — |
| Usage | ||||
| Breaking-ball usage | — | 24.5% | 25.0% | — |
| All fastball usage | — | 71.9% | 71.9% | — |
| Primary fastball usage | — | 25.1% | 25.7% | — |
| Offspeed usage | — | 2.4% | 1.5% | — |
| Other pitch usage | — | 0.1% | 0.5% | — |
| First secondary usage | — | 33.7% | 35.0% | — |
| Second secondary usage | — | 18.5% | 17.7% | — |