Fastball horizontal break
- 2026 actual
- —
- SP · chosen
- 12.0 in
- RP forecast
- 11.9 in
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| Scenario | ERA | WHIP | K% | BB% | GB% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SP · chosen | 4.12 | 1.26 | 21.6% | 6.8% | 45.3% |
| RP | 3.66 | 1.22 | 23.7% | 7.0% | 47.4% |
| Component | 2026 actual | SP forecast | RP forecast | Chosen role |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raw stuff | ||||
| Fastball horizontal break | — | 12.0 in | 11.9 in | 12.0 in |
| Fastball induced vertical break | — | 13.1 in | 13.1 in | 13.1 in |
| Primary fastball velocity | — | 94.0 mph | 94.6 mph | 94.0 mph |
| First secondary movement | — | 12.9 in | 13.1 in | 12.9 in |
| Second secondary movement | — | 11.9 in | 12.1 in | 11.9 in |
| Stuff+ | 90 | 96 | 97 | 96 |
| Primary fastball Stuff+ | — | 91 | 92 | 91 |
| First secondary Stuff+ | — | 100 | 101 | 100 |
| Second secondary Stuff+ | — | 90 | 91 | 90 |
| Command | ||||
| PLoc+ | — | 101 | 101 | 101 |
| Zone rate | 47.7% | 48.9% | 48.7% | 48.9% |
| Hitter reaction | ||||
| Chase rate | 36.4% | 31.5% | 32.1% | 31.5% |
| Whiff rate | 29.4% | 26.0% | 27.8% | 26.0% |
| Contact | ||||
| Barrel rate | 8.3% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 7.9% |
| Ground-ball rate | 48.0% | 45.3% | 47.4% | 45.3% |
| Hard-hit rate | 41.6% | 41.0% | 38.6% | 41.0% |
| HR/FB above expected | — | 0.5 pp | 0.5 pp | 0.5 pp |
| Results | ||||
| Walk rate | 5.7% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.8% |
| Strikeout rate | 23.5% | 21.6% | 23.7% | 21.6% |
| Usage | ||||
| Breaking-ball usage | — | 22.7% | 23.2% | 22.7% |
| All fastball usage | — | 42.5% | 42.5% | 42.5% |
| Primary fastball usage | — | 15.7% | 16.3% | 15.7% |
| Offspeed usage | — | 35.6% | 34.7% | 35.6% |
| Other pitch usage | — | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| First secondary usage | — | 33.8% | 35.1% | 33.8% |
| Second secondary usage | — | 21.1% | 20.4% | 21.1% |