Fastball horizontal break
- 2026 actual
- —
- SP · chosen
- 11.9 in
- RP forecast
- 11.9 in
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| Scenario | ERA | WHIP | K% | BB% | GB% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SP · chosen | 4.05 | 1.25 | 21.9% | 6.9% | 45.5% |
| RP | 3.59 | 1.21 | 24.0% | 7.2% | 47.5% |
| Component | 2026 actual | SP forecast | RP forecast | Chosen role |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raw stuff | ||||
| Fastball horizontal break | — | 11.9 in | 11.9 in | 11.9 in |
| Fastball induced vertical break | — | 7.4 in | 7.5 in | 7.4 in |
| Primary fastball velocity | — | 91.7 mph | 92.2 mph | 91.7 mph |
| First secondary movement | — | 14.6 in | 14.7 in | 14.6 in |
| Second secondary movement | — | 6.4 in | 6.5 in | 6.4 in |
| Stuff+ | 95 | 99 | 100 | 99 |
| Primary fastball Stuff+ | — | 96 | 98 | 96 |
| First secondary Stuff+ | — | 102 | 103 | 102 |
| Second secondary Stuff+ | — | 98 | 99 | 98 |
| Command | ||||
| PLoc+ | — | 100 | 100 | 100 |
| Zone rate | 46.8% | 48.0% | 47.8% | 48.0% |
| Hitter reaction | ||||
| Chase rate | 33.2% | 30.6% | 31.2% | 30.6% |
| Whiff rate | 23.1% | 23.7% | 25.4% | 23.7% |
| Contact | ||||
| Barrel rate | 6.8% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 7.6% |
| Ground-ball rate | 46.4% | 45.5% | 47.5% | 45.5% |
| Hard-hit rate | 38.3% | 39.0% | 36.6% | 39.0% |
| HR/FB above expected | — | 0.2 pp | 0.2 pp | 0.2 pp |
| Results | ||||
| Walk rate | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.9% |
| Strikeout rate | 21.8% | 21.9% | 24.0% | 21.9% |
| Usage | ||||
| Breaking-ball usage | — | 35.6% | 36.1% | 35.6% |
| All fastball usage | — | 56.5% | 56.5% | 56.5% |
| Primary fastball usage | — | 20.9% | 21.5% | 20.9% |
| Offspeed usage | — | 7.4% | 6.5% | 7.4% |
| Other pitch usage | — | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| First secondary usage | — | 20.2% | 21.5% | 20.2% |
| Second secondary usage | — | 18.5% | 17.7% | 18.5% |