Fastball horizontal break
- 2026 actual
- —
- SP forecast
- 6.1 in
- RP · chosen
- 6.1 in
Loading projection…
| Scenario | ERA | WHIP | K% | BB% | GB% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SP | 4.89 | 1.37 | 16.3% | 7.5% | 34.9% |
| RP · chosen | 4.43 | 1.33 | 18.4% | 7.8% | 37.0% |
| Component | 2026 actual | SP forecast | RP forecast | Chosen role |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raw stuff | ||||
| Fastball horizontal break | — | 6.1 in | 6.1 in | 6.1 in |
| Fastball induced vertical break | — | 16.9 in | 17.0 in | 17.0 in |
| Primary fastball velocity | — | 92.9 mph | 93.5 mph | 93.5 mph |
| First secondary movement | — | 9.1 in | 9.2 in | 9.2 in |
| Second secondary movement | — | 18.3 in | 18.5 in | 18.5 in |
| Stuff+ | 89 | 93 | 95 | 95 |
| Primary fastball Stuff+ | — | 92 | 93 | 93 |
| First secondary Stuff+ | — | 98 | 99 | 99 |
| Second secondary Stuff+ | — | 94 | 95 | 95 |
| Command | ||||
| PLoc+ | — | 101 | 101 | 101 |
| Zone rate | 45.0% | 46.7% | 46.4% | 46.4% |
| Hitter reaction | ||||
| Chase rate | 29.6% | 28.8% | 29.4% | 29.4% |
| Whiff rate | 23.6% | 21.2% | 23.0% | 23.0% |
| Contact | ||||
| Barrel rate | 7.1% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 6.5% |
| Ground-ball rate | 33.7% | 34.9% | 37.0% | 37.0% |
| Hard-hit rate | 39.3% | 40.2% | 37.8% | 37.8% |
| HR/FB above expected | — | 0.2 pp | 0.2 pp | 0.2 pp |
| Results | ||||
| Walk rate | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.8% |
| Strikeout rate | 17.6% | 16.3% | 18.4% | 18.4% |
| Usage | ||||
| Breaking-ball usage | — | 13.4% | 13.9% | 13.9% |
| All fastball usage | — | 69.5% | 69.5% | 69.5% |
| Primary fastball usage | — | 46.1% | 46.7% | 46.7% |
| Offspeed usage | — | 16.9% | 16.0% | 16.0% |
| Other pitch usage | — | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.5% |
| First secondary usage | — | 19.4% | 20.7% | 20.7% |
| Second secondary usage | — | 16.6% | 15.8% | 15.8% |