Fastball horizontal break
- 2026 actual
- —
- SP · chosen
- 11.1 in
- RP forecast
- 11.1 in
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| Scenario | ERA | WHIP | K% | BB% | GB% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SP · chosen | 3.64 | 1.16 | 27.4% | 7.4% | 41.7% |
| RP | 3.18 | 1.12 | 29.5% | 7.7% | 43.7% |
| Component | 2026 actual | SP forecast | RP forecast | Chosen role |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raw stuff | ||||
| Fastball horizontal break | — | 11.1 in | 11.1 in | 11.1 in |
| Fastball induced vertical break | — | 13.8 in | 13.9 in | 13.8 in |
| Primary fastball velocity | — | 94.8 mph | 95.4 mph | 94.8 mph |
| First secondary movement | — | 14.4 in | 14.5 in | 14.4 in |
| Second secondary movement | — | 18.6 in | 18.7 in | 18.6 in |
| Stuff+ | 107 | 103 | 104 | 103 |
| Primary fastball Stuff+ | — | 106 | 107 | 106 |
| First secondary Stuff+ | — | 99 | 99 | 99 |
| Second secondary Stuff+ | — | 107 | 107 | 107 |
| Command | ||||
| PLoc+ | — | 110 | 110 | 110 |
| Zone rate | 42.1% | 46.0% | 45.8% | 46.0% |
| Hitter reaction | ||||
| Chase rate | 36.2% | 32.5% | 33.1% | 32.5% |
| Whiff rate | 30.9% | 28.8% | 30.5% | 28.8% |
| Contact | ||||
| Barrel rate | 6.0% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 7.4% |
| Ground-ball rate | 43.6% | 41.7% | 43.7% | 41.7% |
| Hard-hit rate | 35.2% | 37.5% | 35.1% | 37.5% |
| HR/FB above expected | — | 0.5 pp | 0.5 pp | 0.5 pp |
| Results | ||||
| Walk rate | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 7.4% |
| Strikeout rate | 29.9% | 27.4% | 29.5% | 27.4% |
| Usage | ||||
| Breaking-ball usage | — | 23.2% | 23.7% | 23.2% |
| All fastball usage | — | 61.2% | 61.2% | 61.2% |
| Primary fastball usage | — | 34.8% | 35.4% | 34.8% |
| Offspeed usage | — | 15.7% | 14.8% | 15.7% |
| Other pitch usage | — | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| First secondary usage | — | 15.7% | 17.0% | 15.7% |
| Second secondary usage | — | 16.2% | 15.4% | 16.2% |