Fastball horizontal break
- 2026 actual
- —
- SP · chosen
- 13.6 in
- RP forecast
- 13.6 in
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| Scenario | ERA | WHIP | K% | BB% | GB% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SP · chosen | 4.46 | 1.32 | 19.4% | 7.7% | 40.6% |
| RP | 4.00 | 1.28 | 21.5% | 7.9% | 42.6% |
| Component | 2026 actual | SP forecast | RP forecast | Chosen role |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raw stuff | ||||
| Fastball horizontal break | — | 13.6 in | 13.6 in | 13.6 in |
| Fastball induced vertical break | — | 11.7 in | 11.7 in | 11.7 in |
| Primary fastball velocity | — | 92.4 mph | 92.9 mph | 92.4 mph |
| First secondary movement | — | 16.1 in | 16.3 in | 16.1 in |
| Second secondary movement | — | 2.6 in | 2.7 in | 2.6 in |
| Stuff+ | 94 | 95 | 96 | 95 |
| Primary fastball Stuff+ | — | 92 | 94 | 92 |
| First secondary Stuff+ | — | 97 | 98 | 97 |
| Second secondary Stuff+ | — | 98 | 99 | 98 |
| Command | ||||
| PLoc+ | — | 108 | 108 | 108 |
| Zone rate | 48.0% | 48.8% | 48.6% | 48.8% |
| Hitter reaction | ||||
| Chase rate | 32.1% | 29.1% | 29.7% | 29.1% |
| Whiff rate | 22.3% | 22.6% | 24.4% | 22.6% |
| Contact | ||||
| Barrel rate | 7.7% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 7.8% |
| Ground-ball rate | 43.1% | 40.6% | 42.6% | 40.6% |
| Hard-hit rate | 37.6% | 39.2% | 36.8% | 39.2% |
| HR/FB above expected | — | 0.2 pp | 0.2 pp | 0.2 pp |
| Results | ||||
| Walk rate | 7.5% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 7.7% |
| Strikeout rate | 18.5% | 19.4% | 21.5% | 19.4% |
| Usage | ||||
| Breaking-ball usage | — | 26.6% | 27.2% | 26.6% |
| All fastball usage | — | 46.6% | 46.6% | 46.6% |
| Primary fastball usage | — | 39.8% | 40.4% | 39.8% |
| Offspeed usage | — | 27.1% | 26.2% | 27.1% |
| Other pitch usage | — | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| First secondary usage | — | 26.1% | 27.3% | 26.1% |
| Second secondary usage | — | 15.1% | 14.3% | 15.1% |