Fastball horizontal break
- 2026 actual
- —
- SP forecast
- 4.5 in
- RP forecast
- 4.5 in
Loading projection…
Final projection unavailable. The results-only forecast remains available below.
Saved source inputs unavailable
Final role scenarios and park context unavailable
| Component | 2026 actual | SP forecast | RP forecast | Chosen role |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raw stuff | ||||
| Fastball horizontal break | — | 4.5 in | 4.5 in | — |
| Fastball induced vertical break | — | 16.7 in | 16.8 in | — |
| Primary fastball velocity | — | 92.5 mph | 93.1 mph | — |
| First secondary movement | — | 8.7 in | 8.8 in | — |
| Second secondary movement | — | 4.2 in | 4.3 in | — |
| Stuff+ | 90 | 95 | 96 | — |
| Primary fastball Stuff+ | — | 88 | 90 | — |
| First secondary Stuff+ | — | 98 | 99 | — |
| Second secondary Stuff+ | — | 96 | 96 | — |
| Command | ||||
| PLoc+ | — | — * | — * | — |
| Zone rate | 38.1% | 44.4% | 44.2% | — |
| Hitter reaction | ||||
| Chase rate | 30.2% | 29.1% | 29.7% | — |
| Whiff rate | 20.6% | 21.1% | 22.9% | — |
| Contact | ||||
| Barrel rate | 3.8% | 7.2% | 5.7% | — |
| Ground-ball rate | 46.2% | 41.0% | 43.1% | — |
| Hard-hit rate | 42.3% | 40.8% | 38.4% | — |
| HR/FB above expected | — | -0.1 pp | -0.1 pp | — |
| Results | ||||
| Walk rate | 5.9% | 7.9% | 8.2% | — |
| Strikeout rate | 14.7% | 16.0% | 18.1% | — |
| Usage | ||||
| Breaking-ball usage | — | 31.9% | 32.4% | — |
| All fastball usage | — | 57.9% | 57.9% | — |
| Primary fastball usage | — | 16.9% | 17.4% | — |
| Offspeed usage | — | 9.9% | 9.0% | — |
| Other pitch usage | — | 0.0% | 0.3% | — |
| First secondary usage | — | 32.9% | 34.1% | — |
| Second secondary usage | — | 28.2% | 27.5% | — |