Fastball horizontal break
- 2026 actual
- —
- SP · chosen
- 6.9 in
- RP forecast
- 6.9 in
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| Scenario | ERA | WHIP | K% | BB% | GB% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SP · chosen | 4.34 | 1.33 | 22.4% | 8.9% | 41.2% |
| RP | 3.88 | 1.29 | 24.5% | 9.2% | 43.2% |
| Component | 2026 actual | SP forecast | RP forecast | Chosen role |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raw stuff | ||||
| Fastball horizontal break | — | 6.9 in | 6.9 in | 6.9 in |
| Fastball induced vertical break | — | 15.0 in | 15.1 in | 15.0 in |
| Primary fastball velocity | — | 95.2 mph | 95.7 mph | 95.2 mph |
| First secondary movement | — | 2.9 in | 3.1 in | 2.9 in |
| Second secondary movement | — | 11.8 in | 11.9 in | 11.8 in |
| Stuff+ | 101 | 99 | 101 | 99 |
| Primary fastball Stuff+ | — | 101 | 102 | 101 |
| First secondary Stuff+ | — | 99 | 100 | 99 |
| Second secondary Stuff+ | — | 99 | 99 | 99 |
| Command | ||||
| PLoc+ | — | 99 | 99 | 99 |
| Zone rate | 51.2% | 49.9% | 49.7% | 49.9% |
| Hitter reaction | ||||
| Chase rate | 26.5% | 28.0% | 28.6% | 28.0% |
| Whiff rate | 23.5% | 24.6% | 26.3% | 24.6% |
| Contact | ||||
| Barrel rate | 8.3% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 7.9% |
| Ground-ball rate | 43.9% | 41.2% | 43.2% | 41.2% |
| Hard-hit rate | 44.4% | 42.3% | 39.9% | 42.3% |
| HR/FB above expected | — | 0.2 pp | 0.2 pp | 0.2 pp |
| Results | ||||
| Walk rate | 9.8% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 8.9% |
| Strikeout rate | 22.0% | 22.4% | 24.5% | 22.4% |
| Usage | ||||
| Breaking-ball usage | — | 37.5% | 38.1% | 37.5% |
| All fastball usage | — | 46.8% | 46.9% | 46.8% |
| Primary fastball usage | — | 36.5% | 37.1% | 36.5% |
| Offspeed usage | — | 16.8% | 15.9% | 16.8% |
| Other pitch usage | — | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
| First secondary usage | — | 24.2% | 25.4% | 24.2% |
| Second secondary usage | — | 11.9% | 11.1% | 11.9% |