Fastball horizontal break
- 2026 actual
- —
- SP forecast
- 15.7 in
- RP forecast
- 15.7 in
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| Component | 2026 actual | SP forecast | RP forecast | Chosen role |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raw stuff | ||||
| Fastball horizontal break | — | 15.7 in | 15.7 in | — |
| Fastball induced vertical break | — | 5.1 in | 5.2 in | — |
| Primary fastball velocity | — | 90.0 mph | 90.5 mph | — |
| First secondary movement | — | 16.4 in | 16.5 in | — |
| Second secondary movement | — | 15.6 in | 15.7 in | — |
| Stuff+ | 93 | 94 | 95 | — |
| Primary fastball Stuff+ | — | 94 | 96 | — |
| First secondary Stuff+ | — | 95 | 95 | — |
| Second secondary Stuff+ | — | 94 | 95 | — |
| Command | ||||
| PLoc+ | — | — * | — * | — |
| Zone rate | 50.0% | 49.4% | 49.2% | — |
| Hitter reaction | ||||
| Chase rate | 27.1% | 25.9% | 26.5% | — |
| Whiff rate | 20.9% | 19.5% | 21.3% | — |
| Contact | ||||
| Barrel rate | 6.7% | 7.6% | 6.1% | — |
| Ground-ball rate | 33.3% | 43.1% | 45.1% | — |
| Hard-hit rate | 40.0% | 40.7% | 38.2% | — |
| HR/FB above expected | — | -0.4 pp | -0.4 pp | — |
| Results | ||||
| Walk rate | 13.0% | 9.4% | 9.7% | — |
| Strikeout rate | 17.4% | 15.8% | 17.8% | — |
| Usage | ||||
| Breaking-ball usage | — | 41.9% | 42.5% | — |
| All fastball usage | — | 36.4% | 36.4% | — |
| Primary fastball usage | — | 27.6% | 28.2% | — |
| Offspeed usage | — | 22.0% | 21.1% | — |
| Other pitch usage | — | 0.2% | 0.6% | — |
| First secondary usage | — | 24.4% | 25.7% | — |
| Second secondary usage | — | 22.5% | 21.8% | — |