Fastball horizontal break
- 2026 actual
- —
- SP · chosen
- 10.4 in
- RP forecast
- 10.4 in
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| Scenario | ERA | WHIP | K% | BB% | GB% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SP · chosen | 4.15 | 1.24 | 22.6% | 7.2% | 39.0% |
| RP | 3.69 | 1.20 | 24.7% | 7.4% | 41.0% |
| Component | 2026 actual | SP forecast | RP forecast | Chosen role |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raw stuff | ||||
| Fastball horizontal break | — | 10.4 in | 10.4 in | 10.4 in |
| Fastball induced vertical break | — | 16.8 in | 16.8 in | 16.8 in |
| Primary fastball velocity | — | 93.4 mph | 94.0 mph | 93.4 mph |
| First secondary movement | — | 14.4 in | 14.5 in | 14.4 in |
| Second secondary movement | — | 3.9 in | 4.0 in | 3.9 in |
| Stuff+ | 95 | 97 | 99 | 97 |
| Primary fastball Stuff+ | — | 97 | 99 | 97 |
| First secondary Stuff+ | — | 97 | 98 | 97 |
| Second secondary Stuff+ | — | 97 | 98 | 97 |
| Command | ||||
| PLoc+ | — | 108 | 108 | 108 |
| Zone rate | 45.6% | 47.2% | 46.9% | 47.2% |
| Hitter reaction | ||||
| Chase rate | 35.0% | 31.2% | 31.8% | 31.2% |
| Whiff rate | 27.7% | 25.6% | 27.3% | 25.6% |
| Contact | ||||
| Barrel rate | 7.7% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 7.8% |
| Ground-ball rate | 41.7% | 39.0% | 41.0% | 39.0% |
| Hard-hit rate | 40.0% | 40.4% | 37.9% | 40.4% |
| HR/FB above expected | — | 0.4 pp | 0.4 pp | 0.4 pp |
| Results | ||||
| Walk rate | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.2% |
| Strikeout rate | 24.5% | 22.6% | 24.7% | 22.6% |
| Usage | ||||
| Breaking-ball usage | — | 10.9% | 11.4% | 10.9% |
| All fastball usage | — | 50.9% | 50.9% | 50.9% |
| Primary fastball usage | — | 46.5% | 47.0% | 46.5% |
| Offspeed usage | — | 38.4% | 37.5% | 38.4% |
| Other pitch usage | — | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| First secondary usage | — | 36.7% | 38.0% | 36.7% |
| Second secondary usage | — | 10.3% | 9.5% | 10.3% |