Fastball horizontal break
- 2026 actual
- —
- SP forecast
- 5.2 in
- RP forecast
- 5.1 in
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| Component | 2026 actual | SP forecast | RP forecast | Chosen role |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raw stuff | ||||
| Fastball horizontal break | — | 5.2 in | 5.1 in | — |
| Fastball induced vertical break | — | 16.6 in | 16.6 in | — |
| Primary fastball velocity | — | 92.9 mph | 93.4 mph | — |
| First secondary movement | — | 11.4 in | 11.5 in | — |
| Second secondary movement | — | 7.0 in | 7.2 in | — |
| Stuff+ | 93 | 95 | 96 | — |
| Primary fastball Stuff+ | — | 92 | 94 | — |
| First secondary Stuff+ | — | 96 | 96 | — |
| Second secondary Stuff+ | — | 96 | 97 | — |
| Command | ||||
| PLoc+ | — | — * | — * | — |
| Zone rate | 51.2% | 48.8% | 48.6% | — |
| Hitter reaction | ||||
| Chase rate | 26.8% | 27.3% | 27.9% | — |
| Whiff rate | 17.4% | 20.4% | 22.2% | — |
| Contact | ||||
| Barrel rate | 15.6% | 9.7% | 8.2% | — |
| Ground-ball rate | 40.6% | 40.7% | 42.7% | — |
| Hard-hit rate | 56.3% | 43.8% | 41.3% | — |
| HR/FB above expected | — | 0.6 pp | 0.6 pp | — |
| Results | ||||
| Walk rate | 13.9% | 10.5% | 10.7% | — |
| Strikeout rate | 11.6% | 14.9% | 16.9% | — |
| Usage | ||||
| Breaking-ball usage | — | 7.9% | 8.4% | — |
| All fastball usage | — | 30.4% | 30.4% | — |
| Primary fastball usage | — | 25.3% | 25.9% | — |
| Offspeed usage | — | 63.5% | 62.6% | — |
| Other pitch usage | — | 0.0% | 0.2% | — |
| First secondary usage | — | 60.1% | 61.3% | — |
| Second secondary usage | — | 8.7% | 7.9% | — |