Fastball horizontal break
- 2026 actual
- —
- SP · chosen
- 9.2 in
- RP forecast
- 9.2 in
Loading projection…
| Scenario | ERA | WHIP | K% | BB% | GB% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SP · chosen | 4.49 | 1.33 | 21.8% | 9.2% | 35.7% |
| RP | 4.03 | 1.29 | 23.9% | 9.5% | 37.7% |
| Component | 2026 actual | SP forecast | RP forecast | Chosen role |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raw stuff | ||||
| Fastball horizontal break | — | 9.2 in | 9.2 in | 9.2 in |
| Fastball induced vertical break | — | 17.6 in | 17.6 in | 17.6 in |
| Primary fastball velocity | — | 92.8 mph | 93.4 mph | 92.8 mph |
| First secondary movement | — | 6.6 in | 6.8 in | 6.6 in |
| Second secondary movement | — | 15.2 in | 15.3 in | 15.2 in |
| Stuff+ | 95 | 96 | 97 | 96 |
| Primary fastball Stuff+ | — | 97 | 98 | 97 |
| First secondary Stuff+ | — | 98 | 99 | 98 |
| Second secondary Stuff+ | — | 94 | 95 | 94 |
| Command | ||||
| PLoc+ | — | 100 | 100 | 100 |
| Zone rate | 42.9% | 45.9% | 45.7% | 45.9% |
| Hitter reaction | ||||
| Chase rate | 28.2% | 28.3% | 28.9% | 28.3% |
| Whiff rate | 24.6% | 25.5% | 27.2% | 25.5% |
| Contact | ||||
| Barrel rate | 8.0% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 7.9% |
| Ground-ball rate | 36.3% | 35.7% | 37.7% | 35.7% |
| Hard-hit rate | 37.4% | 39.3% | 36.9% | 39.3% |
| HR/FB above expected | — | 0.1 pp | 0.1 pp | 0.1 pp |
| Results | ||||
| Walk rate | 12.0% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 9.2% |
| Strikeout rate | 19.9% | 21.8% | 23.9% | 21.8% |
| Usage | ||||
| Breaking-ball usage | — | 35.6% | 36.1% | 35.6% |
| All fastball usage | — | 47.5% | 47.5% | 47.5% |
| Primary fastball usage | — | 32.0% | 32.6% | 32.0% |
| Offspeed usage | — | 17.6% | 16.7% | 17.6% |
| Other pitch usage | — | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| First secondary usage | — | 23.7% | 24.9% | 23.7% |
| Second secondary usage | — | 17.6% | 16.8% | 17.6% |