Fastball horizontal break
- 2026 actual
- —
- SP · chosen
- 5.8 in
- RP forecast
- 5.7 in
Loading projection…
| Scenario | ERA | WHIP | K% | BB% | GB% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SP · chosen | 4.73 | 1.32 | 19.6% | 7.5% | 35.1% |
| RP | 4.27 | 1.28 | 21.6% | 7.8% | 37.1% |
| Component | 2026 actual | SP forecast | RP forecast | Chosen role |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raw stuff | ||||
| Fastball horizontal break | — | 5.8 in | 5.7 in | 5.8 in |
| Fastball induced vertical break | — | 18.2 in | 18.2 in | 18.2 in |
| Primary fastball velocity | — | 91.6 mph | 92.2 mph | 91.6 mph |
| First secondary movement | — | 10.6 in | 10.7 in | 10.6 in |
| Second secondary movement | — | 15.4 in | 15.6 in | 15.4 in |
| Stuff+ | 94 | 97 | 98 | 97 |
| Primary fastball Stuff+ | — | 95 | 96 | 95 |
| First secondary Stuff+ | — | 102 | 103 | 102 |
| Second secondary Stuff+ | — | 99 | 100 | 99 |
| Command | ||||
| PLoc+ | — | 105 | 105 | 105 |
| Zone rate | 45.3% | 48.2% | 48.0% | 48.2% |
| Hitter reaction | ||||
| Chase rate | 30.1% | 29.0% | 29.6% | 29.0% |
| Whiff rate | 26.5% | 23.5% | 25.3% | 23.5% |
| Contact | ||||
| Barrel rate | 14.6% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 9.2% |
| Ground-ball rate | 34.2% | 35.1% | 37.1% | 35.1% |
| Hard-hit rate | 39.6% | 39.1% | 36.6% | 39.1% |
| HR/FB above expected | — | 0.3 pp | 0.3 pp | 0.3 pp |
| Results | ||||
| Walk rate | 8.7% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.5% |
| Strikeout rate | 20.5% | 19.6% | 21.6% | 19.6% |
| Usage | ||||
| Breaking-ball usage | — | 29.0% | 29.5% | 29.0% |
| All fastball usage | — | 55.8% | 55.8% | 55.8% |
| Primary fastball usage | — | 26.6% | 27.1% | 26.6% |
| Offspeed usage | — | 15.2% | 14.3% | 15.2% |
| Other pitch usage | — | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.4% |
| First secondary usage | — | 19.3% | 20.5% | 19.3% |
| Second secondary usage | — | 16.2% | 15.5% | 16.2% |