Fastball horizontal break
- 2026 actual
- —
- SP forecast
- 5.1 in
- RP forecast
- 5.0 in
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| Component | 2026 actual | SP forecast | RP forecast | Chosen role |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raw stuff | ||||
| Fastball horizontal break | — | 5.1 in | 5.0 in | — |
| Fastball induced vertical break | — | 10.9 in | 11.0 in | — |
| Primary fastball velocity | — | 89.0 mph | 89.6 mph | — |
| First secondary movement | — | 11.6 in | 11.7 in | — |
| Second secondary movement | — | 14.7 in | 14.9 in | — |
| Stuff+ | 94 | 95 | 96 | — |
| Primary fastball Stuff+ | — | 94 | 96 | — |
| First secondary Stuff+ | — | 98 | 99 | — |
| Second secondary Stuff+ | — | 94 | 95 | — |
| Command | ||||
| PLoc+ | — | 114 | 114 | — |
| Zone rate | 42.8% | 46.3% | 46.1% | — |
| Hitter reaction | ||||
| Chase rate | 31.0% | 28.1% | 28.7% | — |
| Whiff rate | 27.9% | 22.3% | 24.0% | — |
| Contact | ||||
| Barrel rate | 6.8% | 7.9% | 6.4% | — |
| Ground-ball rate | 47.3% | 42.0% | 44.0% | — |
| Hard-hit rate | 36.5% | 39.0% | 36.6% | — |
| HR/FB above expected | — | 0.5 pp | 0.5 pp | — |
| Results | ||||
| Walk rate | 8.3% | 7.8% | 8.1% | — |
| Strikeout rate | 28.3% | 19.8% | 21.9% | — |
| Usage | ||||
| Breaking-ball usage | — | 33.4% | 33.9% | — |
| All fastball usage | — | 53.8% | 53.8% | — |
| Primary fastball usage | — | 35.3% | 35.8% | — |
| Offspeed usage | — | 13.3% | 12.4% | — |
| Other pitch usage | — | 0.0% | 0.3% | — |
| First secondary usage | — | 23.9% | 25.1% | — |
| Second secondary usage | — | 16.5% | 15.7% | — |