Fastball horizontal break
- 2026 actual
- —
- SP · chosen
- 6.5 in
- RP forecast
- 6.4 in
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| Scenario | ERA | WHIP | K% | BB% | GB% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SP · chosen | 4.46 | 1.31 | 19.6% | 7.7% | 39.6% |
| RP | 4.00 | 1.27 | 21.7% | 8.0% | 41.6% |
| Component | 2026 actual | SP forecast | RP forecast | Chosen role |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raw stuff | ||||
| Fastball horizontal break | — | 6.5 in | 6.4 in | 6.5 in |
| Fastball induced vertical break | — | 16.0 in | 16.0 in | 16.0 in |
| Primary fastball velocity | — | 91.7 mph | 92.3 mph | 91.7 mph |
| First secondary movement | — | 16.5 in | 16.6 in | 16.5 in |
| Second secondary movement | — | 9.0 in | 9.1 in | 9.0 in |
| Stuff+ | 94 | 97 | 98 | 97 |
| Primary fastball Stuff+ | — | 93 | 95 | 93 |
| First secondary Stuff+ | — | 101 | 102 | 101 |
| Second secondary Stuff+ | — | 99 | 100 | 99 |
| Command | ||||
| PLoc+ | — | 108 | 108 | 108 |
| Zone rate | 46.6% | 47.4% | 47.2% | 47.4% |
| Hitter reaction | ||||
| Chase rate | 30.6% | 29.2% | 29.8% | 29.2% |
| Whiff rate | 21.9% | 22.4% | 24.1% | 22.4% |
| Contact | ||||
| Barrel rate | 7.6% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 7.8% |
| Ground-ball rate | 40.0% | 39.6% | 41.6% | 39.6% |
| Hard-hit rate | 32.8% | 36.9% | 34.4% | 36.9% |
| HR/FB above expected | — | 0.0 pp | 0.0 pp | 0.0 pp |
| Results | ||||
| Walk rate | 7.9% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 7.7% |
| Strikeout rate | 18.1% | 19.6% | 21.7% | 19.6% |
| Usage | ||||
| Breaking-ball usage | — | 13.2% | 13.7% | 13.2% |
| All fastball usage | — | 61.0% | 61.0% | 61.0% |
| Primary fastball usage | — | 37.4% | 38.0% | 37.4% |
| Offspeed usage | — | 25.5% | 24.6% | 25.5% |
| Other pitch usage | — | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.3% |
| First secondary usage | — | 24.8% | 26.0% | 24.8% |
| Second secondary usage | — | 14.3% | 13.6% | 14.3% |