Fastball horizontal break
- 2026 actual
- —
- SP forecast
- 5.4 in
- RP forecast
- 5.3 in
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| Component | 2026 actual | SP forecast | RP forecast | Chosen role |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raw stuff | ||||
| Fastball horizontal break | — | 5.4 in | 5.3 in | — |
| Fastball induced vertical break | — | 17.5 in | 17.6 in | — |
| Primary fastball velocity | — | 87.5 mph | 88.1 mph | — |
| First secondary movement | — | 12.6 in | 12.8 in | — |
| Second secondary movement | — | 8.0 in | 8.2 in | — |
| Stuff+ | 91 | 94 | 95 | — |
| Primary fastball Stuff+ | — | 87 | 88 | — |
| First secondary Stuff+ | — | 100 | 100 | — |
| Second secondary Stuff+ | — | 99 | 100 | — |
| Command | ||||
| PLoc+ | — | — * | — * | — |
| Zone rate | 39.0% | 45.6% | 45.4% | — |
| Hitter reaction | ||||
| Chase rate | 40.0% | 29.9% | 30.5% | — |
| Whiff rate | 23.4% | 21.2% | 22.9% | — |
| Contact | ||||
| Barrel rate | 16.7% | 10.2% | 8.7% | — |
| Ground-ball rate | 33.3% | 36.6% | 38.6% | — |
| Hard-hit rate | 29.2% | 36.8% | 34.4% | — |
| HR/FB above expected | — | 0.1 pp | 0.1 pp | — |
| Results | ||||
| Walk rate | 10.0% | 8.4% | 8.6% | — |
| Strikeout rate | 10.0% | 13.2% | 15.3% | — |
| Usage | ||||
| Breaking-ball usage | — | 33.4% | 33.9% | — |
| All fastball usage | — | 40.1% | 40.1% | — |
| Primary fastball usage | — | 22.1% | 22.6% | — |
| Offspeed usage | — | 26.3% | 25.4% | — |
| Other pitch usage | — | 0.8% | 1.1% | — |
| First secondary usage | — | 25.6% | 26.8% | — |
| Second secondary usage | — | 21.3% | 20.5% | — |