Fastball horizontal break
- 2026 actual
- —
- SP forecast
- 9.3 in
- RP forecast
- 9.2 in
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Final role scenarios and park context unavailable
| Component | 2026 actual | SP forecast | RP forecast | Chosen role |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raw stuff | ||||
| Fastball horizontal break | — | 9.3 in | 9.2 in | — |
| Fastball induced vertical break | — | 15.8 in | 15.9 in | — |
| Primary fastball velocity | — | 97.0 mph | 97.6 mph | — |
| First secondary movement | — | 13.3 in | 13.5 in | — |
| Second secondary movement | — | 19.9 in | 20.0 in | — |
| Stuff+ | 107 | 101 | 102 | — |
| Primary fastball Stuff+ | — | 99 | 101 | — |
| First secondary Stuff+ | — | 104 | 105 | — |
| Second secondary Stuff+ | — | 106 | 106 | — |
| Command | ||||
| PLoc+ | — | — * | — * | — |
| Zone rate | 69.2% | 56.4% | 56.1% | — |
| Hitter reaction | ||||
| Chase rate | 25.0% | 27.8% | 28.4% | — |
| Whiff rate | 33.3% | 28.0% | 29.8% | — |
| Contact | ||||
| Barrel rate | 0.0% | 6.5% | 5.0% | — |
| Ground-ball rate | 33.3% | 37.4% | 39.4% | — |
| Hard-hit rate | 33.3% | 40.0% | 37.6% | — |
| HR/FB above expected | — | -0.2 pp | -0.2 pp | — |
| Results | ||||
| Walk rate | 0.0% | 7.4% | 7.6% | — |
| Strikeout rate | 40.0% | 27.6% | 29.7% | — |
| Usage | ||||
| Breaking-ball usage | — | 14.8% | 15.3% | — |
| All fastball usage | — | 70.2% | 70.3% | — |
| Primary fastball usage | — | 52.8% | 53.4% | — |
| Offspeed usage | — | 15.6% | 14.7% | — |
| Other pitch usage | — | 0.0% | 0.2% | — |
| First secondary usage | — | 16.9% | 18.1% | — |
| Second secondary usage | — | 16.2% | 15.5% | — |
2026 MLB arsenal evidence unavailable