Fastball horizontal break
- 2026 actual
- —
- SP forecast
- 3.9 in
- RP forecast
- 3.9 in
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| Component | 2026 actual | SP forecast | RP forecast | Chosen role |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raw stuff | ||||
| Fastball horizontal break | — | 3.9 in | 3.9 in | — |
| Fastball induced vertical break | — | 17.6 in | 17.7 in | — |
| Primary fastball velocity | — | 93.2 mph | 93.8 mph | — |
| First secondary movement | — | 4.7 in | 4.9 in | — |
| Second secondary movement | — | — * | — * | — |
| Stuff+ | 98 | 98 | 99 | — |
| Primary fastball Stuff+ | — | 101 | 102 | — |
| First secondary Stuff+ | — | 96 | 97 | — |
| Second secondary Stuff+ | — | — * | — * | — |
| Command | ||||
| PLoc+ | — | 90 | 90 | — |
| Zone rate | 45.5% | 48.5% | 48.3% | — |
| Hitter reaction | ||||
| Chase rate | 32.5% | 28.6% | 29.2% | — |
| Whiff rate | 28.2% | 25.0% | 26.7% | — |
| Contact | ||||
| Barrel rate | 5.3% | 7.6% | 6.1% | — |
| Ground-ball rate | 31.9% | 33.4% | 35.5% | — |
| Hard-hit rate | 34.0% | 40.3% | 37.9% | — |
| HR/FB above expected | — | 0.3 pp | 0.3 pp | — |
| Results | ||||
| Walk rate | 12.4% | 9.2% | 9.5% | — |
| Strikeout rate | 25.5% | 21.1% | 23.2% | — |
| Usage | ||||
| Breaking-ball usage | — | 54.7% | 55.2% | — |
| All fastball usage | — | 42.1% | 42.1% | — |
| Primary fastball usage | — | 37.0% | 37.6% | — |
| Offspeed usage | — | 3.5% | 2.6% | — |
| Other pitch usage | — | 0.5% | 0.9% | — |
| First secondary usage | — | 51.2% | 52.5% | — |
| Second secondary usage | — | — * | — * | — |