Fastball horizontal break
- 2026 actual
- —
- SP forecast
- 5.2 in
- RP forecast
- 5.2 in
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| Component | 2026 actual | SP forecast | RP forecast | Chosen role |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raw stuff | ||||
| Fastball horizontal break | — | 5.2 in | 5.2 in | — |
| Fastball induced vertical break | — | 14.5 in | 14.6 in | — |
| Primary fastball velocity | — | 93.3 mph | 93.9 mph | — |
| First secondary movement | — | 11.5 in | 11.6 in | — |
| Second secondary movement | — | 15.7 in | 15.8 in | — |
| Stuff+ | 97 | 97 | 98 | — |
| Primary fastball Stuff+ | — | 98 | 100 | — |
| First secondary Stuff+ | — | 97 | 98 | — |
| Second secondary Stuff+ | — | 96 | 96 | — |
| Command | ||||
| PLoc+ | — | — * | — * | — |
| Zone rate | 48.3% | 48.8% | 48.6% | — |
| Hitter reaction | ||||
| Chase rate | 25.6% | 26.8% | 27.4% | — |
| Whiff rate | 22.9% | 22.2% | 24.0% | — |
| Contact | ||||
| Barrel rate | 17.4% | 10.0% | 8.5% | — |
| Ground-ball rate | 21.7% | 31.2% | 33.2% | — |
| Hard-hit rate | 39.1% | 41.5% | 39.1% | — |
| HR/FB above expected | — | -0.3 pp | -0.3 pp | — |
| Results | ||||
| Walk rate | 11.1% | 9.0% | 9.3% | — |
| Strikeout rate | 25.0% | 20.1% | 22.2% | — |
| Usage | ||||
| Breaking-ball usage | — | 44.1% | 44.7% | — |
| All fastball usage | — | 51.4% | 51.4% | — |
| Primary fastball usage | — | 35.2% | 35.8% | — |
| Offspeed usage | — | 4.9% | 4.0% | — |
| Other pitch usage | — | 0.0% | 0.3% | — |
| First secondary usage | — | 31.8% | 33.1% | — |
| Second secondary usage | — | 12.9% | 12.1% | — |