Fastball horizontal break
- 2026 actual
- —
- SP forecast
- 10.7 in
- RP forecast
- 10.7 in
Loading projection…
Final projection unavailable. The results-only forecast remains available below.
Saved source inputs unavailable
Final role scenarios and park context unavailable
| Component | 2026 actual | SP forecast | RP forecast | Chosen role |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raw stuff | ||||
| Fastball horizontal break | — | 10.7 in | 10.7 in | — |
| Fastball induced vertical break | — | 16.2 in | 16.3 in | — |
| Primary fastball velocity | — | 92.0 mph | 92.6 mph | — |
| First secondary movement | — | 15.3 in | 15.5 in | — |
| Second secondary movement | — | 15.2 in | 15.3 in | — |
| Stuff+ | 97 | 98 | 99 | — |
| Primary fastball Stuff+ | — | 91 | 92 | — |
| First secondary Stuff+ | — | 103 | 104 | — |
| Second secondary Stuff+ | — | 99 | 100 | — |
| Command | ||||
| PLoc+ | — | — * | — * | — |
| Zone rate | 44.8% | 47.0% | 46.8% | — |
| Hitter reaction | ||||
| Chase rate | 36.5% | 29.4% | 30.0% | — |
| Whiff rate | 17.6% | 19.7% | 21.4% | — |
| Contact | ||||
| Barrel rate | 9.7% | 8.5% | 7.0% | — |
| Ground-ball rate | 41.9% | 36.6% | 38.6% | — |
| Hard-hit rate | 54.8% | 43.3% | 40.8% | — |
| HR/FB above expected | — | 1.5 pp | 1.5 pp | — |
| Results | ||||
| Walk rate | 2.6% | 7.6% | 7.9% | — |
| Strikeout rate | 13.2% | 16.0% | 18.1% | — |
| Usage | ||||
| Breaking-ball usage | — | 13.3% | 13.8% | — |
| All fastball usage | — | 44.9% | 44.9% | — |
| Primary fastball usage | — | 33.9% | 34.5% | — |
| Offspeed usage | — | 43.1% | 42.2% | — |
| Other pitch usage | — | 0.0% | 0.2% | — |
| First secondary usage | — | 39.9% | 41.1% | — |
| Second secondary usage | — | 13.5% | 12.7% | — |