Fastball horizontal break
- 2026 actual
- —
- SP forecast
- 14.8 in
- RP forecast
- 14.7 in
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| Component | 2026 actual | SP forecast | RP forecast | Chosen role |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raw stuff | ||||
| Fastball horizontal break | — | 14.8 in | 14.7 in | — |
| Fastball induced vertical break | — | -0.4 in | -0.4 in | — |
| Primary fastball velocity | — | 89.6 mph | 90.2 mph | — |
| First secondary movement | — | 14.1 in | 14.2 in | — |
| Second secondary movement | — | 13.4 in | 13.5 in | — |
| Stuff+ | 98 | 100 | 102 | — |
| Primary fastball Stuff+ | — | 103 | 105 | — |
| First secondary Stuff+ | — | 97 | 98 | — |
| Second secondary Stuff+ | — | 105 | 106 | — |
| Command | ||||
| PLoc+ | — | 94 | 94 | — |
| Zone rate | 49.8% | 48.8% | 48.5% | — |
| Hitter reaction | ||||
| Chase rate | 27.4% | 28.0% | 28.6% | — |
| Whiff rate | 19.5% | 19.9% | 21.6% | — |
| Contact | ||||
| Barrel rate | 12.7% | 9.1% | 7.6% | — |
| Ground-ball rate | 47.6% | 50.6% | 52.6% | — |
| Hard-hit rate | 49.2% | 41.3% | 38.9% | — |
| HR/FB above expected | — | 0.8 pp | 0.8 pp | — |
| Results | ||||
| Walk rate | 12.5% | 9.0% | 9.3% | — |
| Strikeout rate | 14.8% | 16.8% | 18.8% | — |
| Usage | ||||
| Breaking-ball usage | — | 42.2% | 42.7% | — |
| All fastball usage | — | 55.5% | 55.5% | — |
| Primary fastball usage | — | 35.4% | 36.0% | — |
| Offspeed usage | — | 2.4% | 1.5% | — |
| Other pitch usage | — | 0.3% | 0.7% | — |
| First secondary usage | — | 20.3% | 21.5% | — |
| Second secondary usage | — | 21.9% | 21.1% | — |