Fastball horizontal break
- 2026 actual
- —
- SP forecast
- 6.6 in
- RP forecast
- 6.5 in
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| Component | 2026 actual | SP forecast | RP forecast | Chosen role |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raw stuff | ||||
| Fastball horizontal break | — | 6.6 in | 6.5 in | — |
| Fastball induced vertical break | — | 16.4 in | 16.5 in | — |
| Primary fastball velocity | — | 93.4 mph | 94.0 mph | — |
| First secondary movement | — | 13.5 in | 13.6 in | — |
| Second secondary movement | — | 10.2 in | 10.3 in | — |
| Stuff+ | 99 | 100 | 101 | — |
| Primary fastball Stuff+ | — | 94 | 96 | — |
| First secondary Stuff+ | — | 107 | 108 | — |
| Second secondary Stuff+ | — | 104 | 105 | — |
| Command | ||||
| PLoc+ | — | — * | — * | — |
| Zone rate | 44.4% | 46.3% | 46.1% | — |
| Hitter reaction | ||||
| Chase rate | 27.4% | 26.8% | 27.4% | — |
| Whiff rate | 21.6% | 23.8% | 25.6% | — |
| Contact | ||||
| Barrel rate | 7.1% | 8.1% | 6.6% | — |
| Ground-ball rate | 42.9% | 37.8% | 39.8% | — |
| Hard-hit rate | 39.3% | 40.6% | 38.2% | — |
| HR/FB above expected | — | 0.1 pp | 0.1 pp | — |
| Results | ||||
| Walk rate | 15.2% | 12.0% | 12.3% | — |
| Strikeout rate | 21.7% | 19.3% | 21.3% | — |
| Usage | ||||
| Breaking-ball usage | — | 49.6% | 50.1% | — |
| All fastball usage | — | 47.0% | 47.0% | — |
| Primary fastball usage | — | 39.5% | 40.1% | — |
| Offspeed usage | — | 4.2% | 3.3% | — |
| Other pitch usage | — | 0.0% | 0.2% | — |
| First secondary usage | — | 28.0% | 29.2% | — |
| Second secondary usage | — | 16.7% | 15.9% | — |