Fastball horizontal break
- 2026 actual
- —
- SP · chosen
- 5.8 in
- RP forecast
- 5.8 in
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| Scenario | ERA | WHIP | K% | BB% | GB% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SP · chosen | 4.39 | 1.27 | 19.9% | 7.0% | 37.4% |
| RP | 3.93 | 1.23 | 22.0% | 7.3% | 39.4% |
| Component | 2026 actual | SP forecast | RP forecast | Chosen role |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raw stuff | ||||
| Fastball horizontal break | — | 5.8 in | 5.8 in | 5.8 in |
| Fastball induced vertical break | — | 18.1 in | 18.2 in | 18.1 in |
| Primary fastball velocity | — | 92.9 mph | 93.4 mph | 92.9 mph |
| First secondary movement | — | 14.7 in | 14.8 in | 14.7 in |
| Second secondary movement | — | 10.6 in | 10.7 in | 10.6 in |
| Stuff+ | 95 | 98 | 99 | 98 |
| Primary fastball Stuff+ | — | 94 | 96 | 94 |
| First secondary Stuff+ | — | 104 | 105 | 104 |
| Second secondary Stuff+ | — | 98 | 99 | 98 |
| Command | ||||
| PLoc+ | — | 101 | 101 | 101 |
| Zone rate | 50.2% | 49.6% | 49.4% | 49.6% |
| Hitter reaction | ||||
| Chase rate | 29.5% | 29.0% | 29.6% | 29.0% |
| Whiff rate | 21.6% | 22.3% | 24.1% | 22.3% |
| Contact | ||||
| Barrel rate | 7.1% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 7.7% |
| Ground-ball rate | 36.4% | 37.4% | 39.4% | 37.4% |
| Hard-hit rate | 36.9% | 37.3% | 34.9% | 37.3% |
| HR/FB above expected | — | 0.3 pp | 0.3 pp | 0.3 pp |
| Results | ||||
| Walk rate | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.0% |
| Strikeout rate | 19.5% | 19.9% | 22.0% | 19.9% |
| Usage | ||||
| Breaking-ball usage | — | 20.0% | 20.6% | 20.0% |
| All fastball usage | — | 54.3% | 54.3% | 54.3% |
| Primary fastball usage | — | 26.0% | 26.6% | 26.0% |
| Offspeed usage | — | 25.5% | 24.6% | 25.5% |
| Other pitch usage | — | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.3% |
| First secondary usage | — | 25.4% | 26.6% | 25.4% |
| Second secondary usage | — | 15.1% | 14.3% | 15.1% |