Fastball horizontal break
- 2026 actual
- —
- SP forecast
- 6.0 in
- RP forecast
- 5.9 in
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| Component | 2026 actual | SP forecast | RP forecast | Chosen role |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raw stuff | ||||
| Fastball horizontal break | — | 6.0 in | 5.9 in | — |
| Fastball induced vertical break | — | 16.9 in | 16.9 in | — |
| Primary fastball velocity | — | 93.0 mph | 93.6 mph | — |
| First secondary movement | — | 12.6 in | 12.7 in | — |
| Second secondary movement | — | 4.8 in | 4.9 in | — |
| Stuff+ | 96 | 97 | 99 | — |
| Primary fastball Stuff+ | — | 96 | 97 | — |
| First secondary Stuff+ | — | 102 | 103 | — |
| Second secondary Stuff+ | — | 103 | 103 | — |
| Command | ||||
| PLoc+ | — | 99 | 99 | — |
| Zone rate | 47.8% | 48.8% | 48.6% | — |
| Hitter reaction | ||||
| Chase rate | 26.3% | 28.3% | 28.9% | — |
| Whiff rate | 23.1% | 22.8% | 24.5% | — |
| Contact | ||||
| Barrel rate | 6.5% | 7.9% | 6.4% | — |
| Ground-ball rate | 34.8% | 36.5% | 38.5% | — |
| Hard-hit rate | 39.1% | 40.1% | 37.7% | — |
| HR/FB above expected | — | -0.4 pp | -0.4 pp | — |
| Results | ||||
| Walk rate | 15.7% | 10.0% | 10.3% | — |
| Strikeout rate | 18.6% | 18.7% | 20.8% | — |
| Usage | ||||
| Breaking-ball usage | — | 16.3% | 16.8% | — |
| All fastball usage | — | 62.3% | 62.3% | — |
| Primary fastball usage | — | 47.7% | 48.3% | — |
| Offspeed usage | — | 21.3% | 20.4% | — |
| Other pitch usage | — | 0.1% | 0.4% | — |
| First secondary usage | — | 20.8% | 22.0% | — |
| Second secondary usage | — | 12.3% | 11.6% | — |