Fastball horizontal break
- 2026 actual
- —
- SP forecast
- 6.1 in
- RP forecast
- 6.1 in
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| Component | 2026 actual | SP forecast | RP forecast | Chosen role |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raw stuff | ||||
| Fastball horizontal break | — | 6.1 in | 6.1 in | — |
| Fastball induced vertical break | — | 15.9 in | 15.9 in | — |
| Primary fastball velocity | — | 95.2 mph | 95.8 mph | — |
| First secondary movement | — | 17.8 in | 17.9 in | — |
| Second secondary movement | — | 5.2 in | 5.3 in | — |
| Stuff+ | 101 | 100 | 101 | — |
| Primary fastball Stuff+ | — | 100 | 102 | — |
| First secondary Stuff+ | — | 100 | 101 | — |
| Second secondary Stuff+ | — | 98 | 99 | — |
| Command | ||||
| PLoc+ | — | 95 | 95 | — |
| Zone rate | 46.4% | 47.7% | 47.5% | — |
| Hitter reaction | ||||
| Chase rate | 33.3% | 29.8% | 30.4% | — |
| Whiff rate | 25.9% | 24.6% | 26.4% | — |
| Contact | ||||
| Barrel rate | 8.5% | 8.3% | 6.8% | — |
| Ground-ball rate | 47.0% | 42.4% | 44.4% | — |
| Hard-hit rate | 35.0% | 39.4% | 37.0% | — |
| HR/FB above expected | — | 0.6 pp | 0.6 pp | — |
| Results | ||||
| Walk rate | 9.1% | 8.8% | 9.1% | — |
| Strikeout rate | 26.9% | 22.7% | 24.7% | — |
| Usage | ||||
| Breaking-ball usage | — | 32.4% | 32.9% | — |
| All fastball usage | — | 62.8% | 62.9% | — |
| Primary fastball usage | — | 31.6% | 32.1% | — |
| Offspeed usage | — | 3.7% | 2.8% | — |
| Other pitch usage | — | 0.0% | 0.2% | — |
| First secondary usage | — | 27.4% | 28.7% | — |
| Second secondary usage | — | 20.1% | 19.3% | — |