Fastball horizontal break
- 2026 actual
- —
- SP · chosen
- 5.2 in
- RP forecast
- 5.1 in
Loading projection…
| Scenario | ERA | WHIP | K% | BB% | GB% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SP · chosen | 4.52 | 1.36 | 19.4% | 8.4% | 43.8% |
| RP | 4.06 | 1.32 | 21.5% | 8.7% | 45.8% |
| Component | 2026 actual | SP forecast | RP forecast | Chosen role |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raw stuff | ||||
| Fastball horizontal break | — | 5.2 in | 5.1 in | 5.2 in |
| Fastball induced vertical break | — | 16.2 in | 16.3 in | 16.2 in |
| Primary fastball velocity | — | 93.9 mph | 94.5 mph | 93.9 mph |
| First secondary movement | — | 10.8 in | 10.9 in | 10.8 in |
| Second secondary movement | — | 18.2 in | 18.3 in | 18.2 in |
| Stuff+ | 92 | 97 | 98 | 97 |
| Primary fastball Stuff+ | — | 93 | 95 | 93 |
| First secondary Stuff+ | — | 101 | 102 | 101 |
| Second secondary Stuff+ | — | 97 | 98 | 97 |
| Command | ||||
| PLoc+ | — | 100 | 100 | 100 |
| Zone rate | 48.1% | 48.3% | 48.1% | 48.3% |
| Hitter reaction | ||||
| Chase rate | 27.0% | 27.4% | 28.0% | 27.4% |
| Whiff rate | 19.5% | 20.8% | 22.5% | 20.8% |
| Contact | ||||
| Barrel rate | 8.3% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 7.9% |
| Ground-ball rate | 47.4% | 43.8% | 45.8% | 43.8% |
| Hard-hit rate | 38.6% | 39.1% | 36.7% | 39.1% |
| HR/FB above expected | — | 0.4 pp | 0.4 pp | 0.4 pp |
| Results | ||||
| Walk rate | 8.8% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 8.4% |
| Strikeout rate | 20.1% | 19.4% | 21.5% | 19.4% |
| Usage | ||||
| Breaking-ball usage | — | 27.9% | 28.4% | 27.9% |
| All fastball usage | — | 62.1% | 62.1% | 62.1% |
| Primary fastball usage | — | 19.8% | 20.4% | 19.8% |
| Offspeed usage | — | 10.0% | 9.1% | 10.0% |
| Other pitch usage | — | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
| First secondary usage | — | 22.9% | 24.1% | 22.9% |
| Second secondary usage | — | 19.0% | 18.2% | 19.0% |