Fastball horizontal break
- 2026 actual
- —
- SP forecast
- 14.8 in
- RP forecast
- 14.7 in
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| Component | 2026 actual | SP forecast | RP forecast | Chosen role |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raw stuff | ||||
| Fastball horizontal break | — | 14.8 in | 14.7 in | — |
| Fastball induced vertical break | — | 5.7 in | 5.7 in | — |
| Primary fastball velocity | — | 91.0 mph | 91.6 mph | — |
| First secondary movement | — | 9.0 in | 9.1 in | — |
| Second secondary movement | — | 17.4 in | 17.6 in | — |
| Stuff+ | 92 | 97 | 98 | — |
| Primary fastball Stuff+ | — | 94 | 96 | — |
| First secondary Stuff+ | — | 101 | 101 | — |
| Second secondary Stuff+ | — | 102 | 103 | — |
| Command | ||||
| PLoc+ | — | 99 | 99 | — |
| Zone rate | 44.5% | 46.8% | 46.6% | — |
| Hitter reaction | ||||
| Chase rate | 26.6% | 26.6% | 27.2% | — |
| Whiff rate | 27.9% | 24.2% | 25.9% | — |
| Contact | ||||
| Barrel rate | 7.6% | 7.8% | 6.3% | — |
| Ground-ball rate | 44.1% | 45.2% | 47.2% | — |
| Hard-hit rate | 47.5% | 42.5% | 40.1% | — |
| HR/FB above expected | — | 0.5 pp | 0.5 pp | — |
| Results | ||||
| Walk rate | 13.8% | 10.3% | 10.5% | — |
| Strikeout rate | 24.6% | 20.3% | 22.4% | — |
| Usage | ||||
| Breaking-ball usage | — | 33.3% | 33.8% | — |
| All fastball usage | — | 51.7% | 51.7% | — |
| Primary fastball usage | — | 22.3% | 22.9% | — |
| Offspeed usage | — | 15.2% | 14.3% | — |
| Other pitch usage | — | 0.2% | 0.5% | — |
| First secondary usage | — | 22.7% | 23.9% | — |
| Second secondary usage | — | 17.1% | 16.3% | — |