Fastball horizontal break
- 2026 actual
- —
- SP forecast
- 7.3 in
- RP forecast
- 7.2 in
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Final role scenarios and park context unavailable
| Component | 2026 actual | SP forecast | RP forecast | Chosen role |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raw stuff | ||||
| Fastball horizontal break | — | 7.3 in | 7.2 in | — |
| Fastball induced vertical break | — | 18.3 in | 18.4 in | — |
| Primary fastball velocity | — | 91.8 mph | 92.4 mph | — |
| First secondary movement | — | 9.2 in | 9.4 in | — |
| Second secondary movement | — | 4.4 in | 4.5 in | — |
| Stuff+ | 97 | 97 | 99 | — |
| Primary fastball Stuff+ | — | 92 | 94 | — |
| First secondary Stuff+ | — | 100 | 101 | — |
| Second secondary Stuff+ | — | 98 | 99 | — |
| Command | ||||
| PLoc+ | — | — * | — * | — |
| Zone rate | 42.1% | 45.9% | 45.6% | — |
| Hitter reaction | ||||
| Chase rate | 36.4% | 29.2% | 29.8% | — |
| Whiff rate | 22.2% | 21.8% | 23.6% | — |
| Contact | ||||
| Barrel rate | 12.5% | 9.1% | 7.5% | — |
| Ground-ball rate | 25.0% | 32.1% | 34.1% | — |
| Hard-hit rate | 37.5% | 39.9% | 37.5% | — |
| HR/FB above expected | — | — * | — * | — |
| Results | ||||
| Walk rate | 0.0% | 7.9% | 8.2% | — |
| Strikeout rate | 20.0% | 18.6% | 20.7% | — |
| Usage | ||||
| Breaking-ball usage | — | 5.6% | 6.2% | — |
| All fastball usage | — | 49.9% | 49.9% | — |
| Primary fastball usage | — | 29.4% | 30.0% | — |
| Offspeed usage | — | 46.8% | 45.9% | — |
| Other pitch usage | — | 0.0% | 0.3% | — |
| First secondary usage | — | 43.6% | 44.8% | — |
| Second secondary usage | — | 18.1% | 17.3% | — |
2026 MLB arsenal evidence unavailable