Fastball horizontal break
- 2026 actual
- —
- SP forecast
- 17.0 in
- RP forecast
- 17.0 in
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Final role scenarios and park context unavailable
| Component | 2026 actual | SP forecast | RP forecast | Chosen role |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raw stuff | ||||
| Fastball horizontal break | — | 17.0 in | 17.0 in | — |
| Fastball induced vertical break | — | 5.3 in | 5.3 in | — |
| Primary fastball velocity | — | 90.2 mph | 90.8 mph | — |
| First secondary movement | — | 2.5 in | 2.7 in | — |
| Second secondary movement | — | 16.9 in | 17.0 in | — |
| Stuff+ | — | — * | — * | — |
| Primary fastball Stuff+ | — | — * | — * | — |
| First secondary Stuff+ | — | — * | — * | — |
| Second secondary Stuff+ | — | — * | — * | — |
| Command | ||||
| PLoc+ | — | — * | — * | — |
| Zone rate | 60.0% | 53.3% | 53.0% | — |
| Hitter reaction | ||||
| Chase rate | 33.3% | 29.4% | 30.0% | — |
| Whiff rate | 28.6% | 22.8% | 24.5% | — |
| Contact | ||||
| Barrel rate | 0.0% | 6.5% | 5.0% | — |
| Ground-ball rate | 71.4% | 51.9% | 53.9% | — |
| Hard-hit rate | 57.1% | 43.8% | 41.4% | — |
| HR/FB above expected | — | — * | — * | — |
| Results | ||||
| Walk rate | 0.0% | 6.5% | 6.8% | — |
| Strikeout rate | 22.2% | 17.7% | 19.8% | — |
| Usage | ||||
| Breaking-ball usage | — | 6.3% | 6.8% | — |
| All fastball usage | — | 80.4% | 80.4% | — |
| Primary fastball usage | — | 54.8% | 55.4% | — |
| Offspeed usage | — | 12.3% | 11.4% | — |
| Other pitch usage | — | 0.0% | 0.3% | — |
| First secondary usage | — | 23.8% | 25.0% | — |
| Second secondary usage | — | 13.3% | 12.6% | — |
2026 MLB arsenal evidence unavailable