Fastball horizontal break
- 2026 actual
- —
- SP · chosen
- 12.0 in
- RP forecast
- 12.0 in
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| Scenario | ERA | WHIP | K% | BB% | GB% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SP · chosen | 4.52 | 1.32 | 19.8% | 7.6% | 39.7% |
| RP | 4.06 | 1.28 | 21.9% | 7.8% | 41.7% |
| Component | 2026 actual | SP forecast | RP forecast | Chosen role |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raw stuff | ||||
| Fastball horizontal break | — | 12.0 in | 12.0 in | 12.0 in |
| Fastball induced vertical break | — | 12.3 in | 12.4 in | 12.3 in |
| Primary fastball velocity | — | 94.7 mph | 95.3 mph | 94.7 mph |
| First secondary movement | — | 1.8 in | 2.0 in | 1.8 in |
| Second secondary movement | — | 18.2 in | 18.4 in | 18.2 in |
| Stuff+ | 94 | 96 | 97 | 96 |
| Primary fastball Stuff+ | — | 94 | 96 | 94 |
| First secondary Stuff+ | — | 97 | 97 | 97 |
| Second secondary Stuff+ | — | 98 | 99 | 98 |
| Command | ||||
| PLoc+ | — | 104 | 104 | 104 |
| Zone rate | 48.6% | 48.4% | 48.2% | 48.4% |
| Hitter reaction | ||||
| Chase rate | 31.5% | 29.8% | 30.4% | 29.8% |
| Whiff rate | 23.7% | 23.5% | 25.3% | 23.5% |
| Contact | ||||
| Barrel rate | 9.6% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 8.2% |
| Ground-ball rate | 36.4% | 39.7% | 41.7% | 39.7% |
| Hard-hit rate | 41.8% | 42.5% | 40.1% | 42.5% |
| HR/FB above expected | — | 0.2 pp | 0.2 pp | 0.2 pp |
| Results | ||||
| Walk rate | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.6% |
| Strikeout rate | 18.9% | 19.8% | 21.9% | 19.8% |
| Usage | ||||
| Breaking-ball usage | — | 24.6% | 25.1% | 24.6% |
| All fastball usage | — | 59.9% | 60.0% | 59.9% |
| Primary fastball usage | — | 38.6% | 39.2% | 38.6% |
| Offspeed usage | — | 15.0% | 14.1% | 15.0% |
| Other pitch usage | — | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| First secondary usage | — | 22.7% | 23.9% | 22.7% |
| Second secondary usage | — | 18.6% | 17.9% | 18.6% |