Fastball horizontal break
- 2026 actual
- —
- SP forecast
- 7.6 in
- RP forecast
- 7.6 in
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| Component | 2026 actual | SP forecast | RP forecast | Chosen role |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raw stuff | ||||
| Fastball horizontal break | — | 7.6 in | 7.6 in | — |
| Fastball induced vertical break | — | 17.0 in | 17.0 in | — |
| Primary fastball velocity | — | 91.6 mph | 92.1 mph | — |
| First secondary movement | — | 13.2 in | 13.4 in | — |
| Second secondary movement | — | 18.8 in | 18.9 in | — |
| Stuff+ | 103 | 99 | 101 | — |
| Primary fastball Stuff+ | — | 99 | 100 | — |
| First secondary Stuff+ | — | 105 | 106 | — |
| Second secondary Stuff+ | — | 95 | 96 | — |
| Command | ||||
| PLoc+ | — | 94 | 94 | — |
| Zone rate | 45.7% | 47.8% | 47.6% | — |
| Hitter reaction | ||||
| Chase rate | 30.2% | 27.8% | 28.4% | — |
| Whiff rate | 29.3% | 25.4% | 27.1% | — |
| Contact | ||||
| Barrel rate | 9.1% | 8.4% | 6.9% | — |
| Ground-ball rate | 33.3% | 33.8% | 35.8% | — |
| Hard-hit rate | 36.4% | 39.6% | 37.2% | — |
| HR/FB above expected | — | 0.9 pp | 0.9 pp | — |
| Results | ||||
| Walk rate | 11.3% | 9.1% | 9.4% | — |
| Strikeout rate | 24.5% | 20.5% | 22.6% | — |
| Usage | ||||
| Breaking-ball usage | — | 27.2% | 27.8% | — |
| All fastball usage | — | 49.6% | 49.6% | — |
| Primary fastball usage | — | 34.3% | 34.9% | — |
| Offspeed usage | — | 21.9% | 21.0% | — |
| Other pitch usage | — | 1.3% | 1.7% | — |
| First secondary usage | — | 21.1% | 22.4% | — |
| Second secondary usage | — | 21.5% | 20.7% | — |