Fastball horizontal break
- 2026 actual
- —
- SP forecast
- 8.8 in
- RP forecast
- 8.8 in
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| Component | 2026 actual | SP forecast | RP forecast | Chosen role |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raw stuff | ||||
| Fastball horizontal break | — | 8.8 in | 8.8 in | — |
| Fastball induced vertical break | — | 18.2 in | 18.2 in | — |
| Primary fastball velocity | — | 94.3 mph | 94.9 mph | — |
| First secondary movement | — | 2.6 in | 2.7 in | — |
| Second secondary movement | — | — * | — * | — |
| Stuff+ | 112 | 104 | 106 | — |
| Primary fastball Stuff+ | — | 108 | 109 | — |
| First secondary Stuff+ | — | 99 | 100 | — |
| Second secondary Stuff+ | — | — * | — * | — |
| Command | ||||
| PLoc+ | — | 90 | 90 | — |
| Zone rate | 45.3% | 47.5% | 47.3% | — |
| Hitter reaction | ||||
| Chase rate | 41.1% | 33.8% | 34.4% | — |
| Whiff rate | 34.2% | 32.3% | 34.1% | — |
| Contact | ||||
| Barrel rate | 6.2% | 7.8% | 6.3% | — |
| Ground-ball rate | 39.2% | 32.8% | 34.8% | — |
| Hard-hit rate | 32.0% | 37.8% | 35.4% | — |
| HR/FB above expected | — | -0.2 pp | -0.2 pp | — |
| Results | ||||
| Walk rate | 9.0% | 8.7% | 9.0% | — |
| Strikeout rate | 32.9% | 29.2% | 31.3% | — |
| Usage | ||||
| Breaking-ball usage | — | 35.1% | 35.6% | — |
| All fastball usage | — | 61.9% | 61.9% | — |
| Primary fastball usage | — | 58.1% | 58.7% | — |
| Offspeed usage | — | 2.8% | 1.9% | — |
| Other pitch usage | — | 0.0% | 0.3% | — |
| First secondary usage | — | 33.1% | 34.4% | — |
| Second secondary usage | — | — * | — * | — |