Fastball horizontal break
- 2026 actual
- —
- SP · chosen
- 14.3 in
- RP forecast
- 14.3 in
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| Scenario | ERA | WHIP | K% | BB% | GB% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SP · chosen | 4.10 | 1.26 | 20.8% | 7.1% | 46.8% |
| RP | 3.64 | 1.23 | 22.9% | 7.4% | 48.9% |
| Component | 2026 actual | SP forecast | RP forecast | Chosen role |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raw stuff | ||||
| Fastball horizontal break | — | 14.3 in | 14.3 in | 14.3 in |
| Fastball induced vertical break | — | 5.5 in | 5.6 in | 5.5 in |
| Primary fastball velocity | — | 90.1 mph | 90.7 mph | 90.1 mph |
| First secondary movement | — | 13.0 in | 13.1 in | 13.0 in |
| Second secondary movement | — | 8.5 in | 8.6 in | 8.5 in |
| Stuff+ | 94 | 97 | 99 | 97 |
| Primary fastball Stuff+ | — | 102 | 103 | 102 |
| First secondary Stuff+ | — | 95 | 96 | 95 |
| Second secondary Stuff+ | — | 100 | 100 | 100 |
| Command | ||||
| PLoc+ | — | 106 | 106 | 106 |
| Zone rate | 44.2% | 46.7% | 46.5% | 46.7% |
| Hitter reaction | ||||
| Chase rate | 31.4% | 29.8% | 30.4% | 29.8% |
| Whiff rate | 21.7% | 21.4% | 23.1% | 21.4% |
| Contact | ||||
| Barrel rate | 5.3% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 7.3% |
| Ground-ball rate | 43.4% | 46.8% | 48.9% | 46.8% |
| Hard-hit rate | 33.7% | 36.2% | 33.8% | 36.2% |
| HR/FB above expected | — | 0.1 pp | 0.1 pp | 0.1 pp |
| Results | ||||
| Walk rate | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.1% |
| Strikeout rate | 22.9% | 20.8% | 22.9% | 20.8% |
| Usage | ||||
| Breaking-ball usage | — | 22.2% | 22.7% | 22.2% |
| All fastball usage | — | 63.1% | 63.1% | 63.1% |
| Primary fastball usage | — | 24.1% | 24.6% | 24.1% |
| Offspeed usage | — | 13.7% | 12.8% | 13.7% |
| Other pitch usage | — | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| First secondary usage | — | 20.3% | 21.5% | 20.3% |
| Second secondary usage | — | 18.9% | 18.1% | 18.9% |