Fastball horizontal break
- 2026 actual
- —
- SP forecast
- 9.0 in
- RP · chosen
- 9.0 in
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| Scenario | ERA | WHIP | K% | BB% | GB% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SP | 4.41 | 1.28 | 21.5% | 7.6% | 36.5% |
| RP · chosen | 3.95 | 1.24 | 23.6% | 7.9% | 38.5% |
| Component | 2026 actual | SP forecast | RP forecast | Chosen role |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raw stuff | ||||
| Fastball horizontal break | — | 9.0 in | 9.0 in | 9.0 in |
| Fastball induced vertical break | — | 14.9 in | 14.9 in | 14.9 in |
| Primary fastball velocity | — | 93.5 mph | 94.1 mph | 94.1 mph |
| First secondary movement | — | 15.8 in | 15.9 in | 15.9 in |
| Second secondary movement | — | 18.3 in | 18.5 in | 18.5 in |
| Stuff+ | 95 | 96 | 97 | 97 |
| Primary fastball Stuff+ | — | 97 | 98 | 98 |
| First secondary Stuff+ | — | 91 | 92 | 92 |
| Second secondary Stuff+ | — | 99 | 100 | 100 |
| Command | ||||
| PLoc+ | — | 108 | 108 | 108 |
| Zone rate | 49.1% | 49.1% | 48.9% | 48.9% |
| Hitter reaction | ||||
| Chase rate | 39.0% | 32.4% | 33.0% | 33.0% |
| Whiff rate | 30.0% | 26.0% | 27.7% | 27.7% |
| Contact | ||||
| Barrel rate | 9.6% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 7.0% |
| Ground-ball rate | 38.2% | 36.5% | 38.5% | 38.5% |
| Hard-hit rate | 37.6% | 39.8% | 37.3% | 37.3% |
| HR/FB above expected | — | 0.0 pp | 0.0 pp | 0.0 pp |
| Results | ||||
| Walk rate | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 7.9% |
| Strikeout rate | 26.8% | 21.5% | 23.6% | 23.6% |
| Usage | ||||
| Breaking-ball usage | — | 10.7% | 11.3% | 11.3% |
| All fastball usage | — | 55.4% | 55.4% | 55.4% |
| Primary fastball usage | — | 32.5% | 33.1% | 33.1% |
| Offspeed usage | — | 34.6% | 33.7% | 33.7% |
| Other pitch usage | — | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.7% |
| First secondary usage | — | 31.2% | 32.4% | 32.4% |
| Second secondary usage | — | 20.1% | 19.3% | 19.3% |