Fastball horizontal break
- 2026 actual
- —
- SP forecast
- 9.8 in
- RP forecast
- 9.8 in
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| Component | 2026 actual | SP forecast | RP forecast | Chosen role |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raw stuff | ||||
| Fastball horizontal break | — | 9.8 in | 9.8 in | — |
| Fastball induced vertical break | — | 16.9 in | 16.9 in | — |
| Primary fastball velocity | — | 93.8 mph | 94.4 mph | — |
| First secondary movement | — | 17.0 in | 17.1 in | — |
| Second secondary movement | — | 9.4 in | 9.6 in | — |
| Stuff+ | 97 | 97 | 98 | — |
| Primary fastball Stuff+ | — | 98 | 99 | — |
| First secondary Stuff+ | — | 95 | 96 | — |
| Second secondary Stuff+ | — | 99 | 100 | — |
| Command | ||||
| PLoc+ | — | 102 | 102 | — |
| Zone rate | 44.7% | 46.6% | 46.4% | — |
| Hitter reaction | ||||
| Chase rate | 27.1% | 26.1% | 26.7% | — |
| Whiff rate | 26.1% | 24.8% | 26.6% | — |
| Contact | ||||
| Barrel rate | 13.7% | 9.5% | 8.0% | — |
| Ground-ball rate | 41.2% | 35.4% | 37.4% | — |
| Hard-hit rate | 45.1% | 43.9% | 41.4% | — |
| HR/FB above expected | — | 0.3 pp | 0.3 pp | — |
| Results | ||||
| Walk rate | 4.3% | 10.2% | 10.4% | — |
| Strikeout rate | 21.4% | 19.3% | 21.4% | — |
| Usage | ||||
| Breaking-ball usage | — | 4.3% | 4.9% | — |
| All fastball usage | — | 57.0% | 57.0% | — |
| Primary fastball usage | — | 41.4% | 42.0% | — |
| Offspeed usage | — | 39.2% | 38.3% | — |
| Other pitch usage | — | 0.3% | 0.6% | — |
| First secondary usage | — | 35.6% | 36.9% | — |
| Second secondary usage | — | 12.7% | 11.9% | — |