Fastball horizontal break
- 2026 actual
- —
- SP forecast
- 4.6 in
- RP forecast
- 4.6 in
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| Component | 2026 actual | SP forecast | RP forecast | Chosen role |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raw stuff | ||||
| Fastball horizontal break | — | 4.6 in | 4.6 in | — |
| Fastball induced vertical break | — | 14.9 in | 14.9 in | — |
| Primary fastball velocity | — | 91.8 mph | 92.4 mph | — |
| First secondary movement | — | 19.5 in | 19.6 in | — |
| Second secondary movement | — | 8.6 in | 8.8 in | — |
| Stuff+ | 84 | 94 | 95 | — |
| Primary fastball Stuff+ | — | 92 | 94 | — |
| First secondary Stuff+ | — | 92 | 93 | — |
| Second secondary Stuff+ | — | 97 | 98 | — |
| Command | ||||
| PLoc+ | — | — * | — * | — |
| Zone rate | 51.3% | 48.9% | 48.6% | — |
| Hitter reaction | ||||
| Chase rate | 21.1% | 24.3% | 24.9% | — |
| Whiff rate | 15.1% | 19.1% | 20.9% | — |
| Contact | ||||
| Barrel rate | 14.3% | 9.4% | 7.9% | — |
| Ground-ball rate | 47.6% | 35.5% | 37.5% | — |
| Hard-hit rate | 42.9% | 43.0% | 40.6% | — |
| HR/FB above expected | — | -0.2 pp | -0.2 pp | — |
| Results | ||||
| Walk rate | 16.1% | 10.8% | 11.0% | — |
| Strikeout rate | 12.9% | 15.7% | 17.8% | — |
| Usage | ||||
| Breaking-ball usage | — | 30.6% | 31.1% | — |
| All fastball usage | — | 53.6% | 53.7% | — |
| Primary fastball usage | — | 20.6% | 21.2% | — |
| Offspeed usage | — | 16.1% | 15.2% | — |
| Other pitch usage | — | 0.0% | 0.2% | — |
| First secondary usage | — | 23.5% | 24.7% | — |
| Second secondary usage | — | 24.1% | 23.3% | — |