Fastball horizontal break
- 2026 actual
- —
- SP forecast
- 11.4 in
- RP forecast
- 11.3 in
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| Component | 2026 actual | SP forecast | RP forecast | Chosen role |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raw stuff | ||||
| Fastball horizontal break | — | 11.4 in | 11.3 in | — |
| Fastball induced vertical break | — | 13.7 in | 13.7 in | — |
| Primary fastball velocity | — | 94.1 mph | 94.7 mph | — |
| First secondary movement | — | 4.0 in | 4.1 in | — |
| Second secondary movement | — | 18.0 in | 18.1 in | — |
| Stuff+ | 82 | 95 | 96 | — |
| Primary fastball Stuff+ | — | 89 | 91 | — |
| First secondary Stuff+ | — | 96 | 97 | — |
| Second secondary Stuff+ | — | 97 | 98 | — |
| Command | ||||
| PLoc+ | — | — * | — * | — |
| Zone rate | 45.7% | 47.4% | 47.2% | — |
| Hitter reaction | ||||
| Chase rate | 30.0% | 29.5% | 30.1% | — |
| Whiff rate | 28.6% | 25.5% | 27.2% | — |
| Contact | ||||
| Barrel rate | 0.0% | 6.5% | 5.0% | — |
| Ground-ball rate | 56.2% | 44.4% | 46.4% | — |
| Hard-hit rate | 50.0% | 43.5% | 41.1% | — |
| HR/FB above expected | — | -0.0 pp | -0.0 pp | — |
| Results | ||||
| Walk rate | 13.0% | 10.3% | 10.6% | — |
| Strikeout rate | 17.4% | 17.8% | 19.9% | — |
| Usage | ||||
| Breaking-ball usage | — | 55.3% | 55.8% | — |
| All fastball usage | — | 42.5% | 42.5% | — |
| Primary fastball usage | — | 22.5% | 23.1% | — |
| Offspeed usage | — | 2.3% | 1.4% | — |
| Other pitch usage | — | 0.0% | 0.2% | — |
| First secondary usage | — | 51.1% | 52.3% | — |
| Second secondary usage | — | 15.4% | 14.6% | — |