Fastball horizontal break
- 2026 actual
- —
- SP · chosen
- 7.5 in
- RP forecast
- 7.5 in
Loading projection…
Saved source inputs unavailable
| Scenario | ERA | WHIP | K% | BB% | GB% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SP · chosen | 4.28 | 1.30 | 21.4% | 7.9% | 43.2% |
| RP | 3.82 | 1.26 | 23.5% | 8.2% | 45.2% |
| Component | 2026 actual | SP forecast | RP forecast | Chosen role |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raw stuff | ||||
| Fastball horizontal break | — | 7.5 in | 7.5 in | 7.5 in |
| Fastball induced vertical break | — | 14.9 in | 14.9 in | 14.9 in |
| Primary fastball velocity | — | 95.4 mph | 96.0 mph | 95.4 mph |
| First secondary movement | — | 12.7 in | 12.9 in | 12.7 in |
| Second secondary movement | — | 16.4 in | 16.6 in | 16.4 in |
| Stuff+ | 106 | 102 | 103 | 102 |
| Primary fastball Stuff+ | — | 100 | 101 | 100 |
| First secondary Stuff+ | — | 102 | 102 | 102 |
| Second secondary Stuff+ | — | 105 | 106 | 105 |
| Command | ||||
| PLoc+ | — | 106 | 106 | 106 |
| Zone rate | 44.0% | 46.8% | 46.6% | 46.8% |
| Hitter reaction | ||||
| Chase rate | 33.0% | 30.5% | 31.1% | 30.5% |
| Whiff rate | 23.4% | 24.7% | 26.4% | 24.7% |
| Contact | ||||
| Barrel rate | 8.0% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 7.9% |
| Ground-ball rate | 43.7% | 43.2% | 45.2% | 43.2% |
| Hard-hit rate | 38.9% | 38.8% | 36.4% | 38.8% |
| HR/FB above expected | — | 0.3 pp | 0.3 pp | 0.3 pp |
| Results | ||||
| Walk rate | 7.9% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 7.9% |
| Strikeout rate | 18.2% | 21.4% | 23.5% | 21.4% |
| Usage | ||||
| Breaking-ball usage | — | 31.3% | 31.8% | 31.3% |
| All fastball usage | — | 54.1% | 54.1% | 54.1% |
| Primary fastball usage | — | 24.4% | 25.0% | 24.4% |
| Offspeed usage | — | 14.2% | 13.3% | 14.2% |
| Other pitch usage | — | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.3% |
| First secondary usage | — | 23.7% | 25.0% | 23.7% |
| Second secondary usage | — | 17.6% | 16.8% | 17.6% |