Fastball horizontal break
- 2026 actual
- —
- SP · chosen
- 11.0 in
- RP forecast
- 11.0 in
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| Scenario | ERA | WHIP | K% | BB% | GB% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SP · chosen | 4.36 | 1.30 | 20.4% | 7.7% | 40.7% |
| RP | 3.90 | 1.26 | 22.5% | 8.0% | 42.7% |
| Component | 2026 actual | SP forecast | RP forecast | Chosen role |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raw stuff | ||||
| Fastball horizontal break | — | 11.0 in | 11.0 in | 11.0 in |
| Fastball induced vertical break | — | 17.5 in | 17.6 in | 17.5 in |
| Primary fastball velocity | — | 92.4 mph | 93.0 mph | 92.4 mph |
| First secondary movement | — | 14.2 in | 14.4 in | 14.2 in |
| Second secondary movement | — | 10.5 in | 10.6 in | 10.5 in |
| Stuff+ | 94 | 96 | 97 | 96 |
| Primary fastball Stuff+ | — | 96 | 98 | 96 |
| First secondary Stuff+ | — | 94 | 95 | 94 |
| Second secondary Stuff+ | — | 95 | 96 | 95 |
| Command | ||||
| PLoc+ | — | 106 | 106 | 106 |
| Zone rate | 46.8% | 48.2% | 48.0% | 48.2% |
| Hitter reaction | ||||
| Chase rate | 28.9% | 28.7% | 29.3% | 28.7% |
| Whiff rate | 22.9% | 23.1% | 24.9% | 23.1% |
| Contact | ||||
| Barrel rate | 6.8% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 7.6% |
| Ground-ball rate | 44.4% | 40.7% | 42.7% | 40.7% |
| Hard-hit rate | 37.1% | 37.9% | 35.5% | 37.9% |
| HR/FB above expected | — | 0.3 pp | 0.3 pp | 0.3 pp |
| Results | ||||
| Walk rate | 7.5% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 7.7% |
| Strikeout rate | 22.3% | 20.4% | 22.5% | 20.4% |
| Usage | ||||
| Breaking-ball usage | — | 9.8% | 10.4% | 9.8% |
| All fastball usage | — | 60.9% | 60.9% | 60.9% |
| Primary fastball usage | — | 44.0% | 44.5% | 44.0% |
| Offspeed usage | — | 29.1% | 28.2% | 29.1% |
| Other pitch usage | — | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| First secondary usage | — | 28.3% | 29.5% | 28.3% |
| Second secondary usage | — | 14.8% | 14.1% | 14.8% |