Fastball horizontal break
- 2026 actual
- —
- SP · chosen
- 7.1 in
- RP forecast
- 7.1 in
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| Scenario | ERA | WHIP | K% | BB% | GB% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SP · chosen | 4.61 | 1.29 | 18.4% | 6.6% | 35.3% |
| RP | 4.15 | 1.25 | 20.4% | 6.9% | 37.3% |
| Component | 2026 actual | SP forecast | RP forecast | Chosen role |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raw stuff | ||||
| Fastball horizontal break | — | 7.1 in | 7.1 in | 7.1 in |
| Fastball induced vertical break | — | 15.9 in | 16.0 in | 15.9 in |
| Primary fastball velocity | — | 88.2 mph | 88.8 mph | 88.2 mph |
| First secondary movement | — | 19.1 in | 19.2 in | 19.1 in |
| Second secondary movement | — | 8.1 in | 8.2 in | 8.1 in |
| Stuff+ | 93 | 95 | 96 | 95 |
| Primary fastball Stuff+ | — | 93 | 95 | 93 |
| First secondary Stuff+ | — | 100 | 101 | 100 |
| Second secondary Stuff+ | — | 92 | 92 | 92 |
| Command | ||||
| PLoc+ | — | 107 | 107 | 107 |
| Zone rate | 49.1% | 48.9% | 48.7% | 48.9% |
| Hitter reaction | ||||
| Chase rate | 29.9% | 30.0% | 30.6% | 30.0% |
| Whiff rate | 20.3% | 21.6% | 23.4% | 21.6% |
| Contact | ||||
| Barrel rate | 9.9% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 8.2% |
| Ground-ball rate | 34.8% | 35.3% | 37.3% | 35.3% |
| Hard-hit rate | 38.1% | 37.1% | 34.7% | 37.1% |
| HR/FB above expected | — | 0.1 pp | 0.1 pp | 0.1 pp |
| Results | ||||
| Walk rate | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.6% |
| Strikeout rate | 17.1% | 18.4% | 20.4% | 18.4% |
| Usage | ||||
| Breaking-ball usage | — | 32.1% | 32.6% | 32.1% |
| All fastball usage | — | 36.9% | 37.0% | 36.9% |
| Primary fastball usage | — | 29.8% | 30.3% | 29.8% |
| Offspeed usage | — | 31.9% | 31.0% | 31.9% |
| Other pitch usage | — | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| First secondary usage | — | 30.4% | 31.6% | 30.4% |
| Second secondary usage | — | 18.1% | 17.3% | 18.1% |