Fastball horizontal break
- 2026 actual
- —
- SP forecast
- 17.0 in
- RP forecast
- 17.0 in
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| Component | 2026 actual | SP forecast | RP forecast | Chosen role |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raw stuff | ||||
| Fastball horizontal break | — | 17.0 in | 17.0 in | — |
| Fastball induced vertical break | — | 4.5 in | 4.6 in | — |
| Primary fastball velocity | — | 91.3 mph | 91.9 mph | — |
| First secondary movement | — | 10.8 in | 10.9 in | — |
| Second secondary movement | — | 5.5 in | 5.6 in | — |
| Stuff+ | 100 | 101 | 103 | — |
| Primary fastball Stuff+ | — | 99 | 101 | — |
| First secondary Stuff+ | — | 110 | 111 | — |
| Second secondary Stuff+ | — | 100 | 101 | — |
| Command | ||||
| PLoc+ | — | 99 | 99 | — |
| Zone rate | 42.0% | 45.5% | 45.2% | — |
| Hitter reaction | ||||
| Chase rate | 33.7% | 30.4% | 31.0% | — |
| Whiff rate | 37.2% | 27.7% | 29.5% | — |
| Contact | ||||
| Barrel rate | 5.9% | 7.8% | 6.3% | — |
| Ground-ball rate | 39.2% | 44.8% | 46.8% | — |
| Hard-hit rate | 29.4% | 38.5% | 36.1% | — |
| HR/FB above expected | — | -0.1 pp | -0.1 pp | — |
| Results | ||||
| Walk rate | 8.1% | 8.7% | 9.0% | — |
| Strikeout rate | 29.9% | 21.9% | 24.0% | — |
| Usage | ||||
| Breaking-ball usage | — | 48.3% | 48.9% | — |
| All fastball usage | — | 38.0% | 38.0% | — |
| Primary fastball usage | — | 20.5% | 21.1% | — |
| Offspeed usage | — | 12.8% | 11.9% | — |
| Other pitch usage | — | 0.0% | 0.2% | — |
| First secondary usage | — | 25.8% | 27.1% | — |
| Second secondary usage | — | 24.6% | 23.9% | — |