Fastball horizontal break
- 2026 actual
- —
- SP forecast
- 12.6 in
- RP forecast
- 12.5 in
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| Component | 2026 actual | SP forecast | RP forecast | Chosen role |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raw stuff | ||||
| Fastball horizontal break | — | 12.6 in | 12.5 in | — |
| Fastball induced vertical break | — | 14.6 in | 14.6 in | — |
| Primary fastball velocity | — | 93.0 mph | 93.6 mph | — |
| First secondary movement | — | 20.2 in | 20.4 in | — |
| Second secondary movement | — | — * | — * | — |
| Stuff+ | 112 | 103 | 105 | — |
| Primary fastball Stuff+ | — | 104 | 105 | — |
| First secondary Stuff+ | — | 104 | 105 | — |
| Second secondary Stuff+ | — | — * | — * | — |
| Command | ||||
| PLoc+ | — | 108 | 108 | — |
| Zone rate | 42.5% | 45.4% | 45.2% | — |
| Hitter reaction | ||||
| Chase rate | 38.6% | 32.0% | 32.6% | — |
| Whiff rate | 34.4% | 31.3% | 33.1% | — |
| Contact | ||||
| Barrel rate | 4.5% | 7.5% | 5.9% | — |
| Ground-ball rate | 39.6% | 39.1% | 41.1% | — |
| Hard-hit rate | 29.7% | 36.9% | 34.5% | — |
| HR/FB above expected | — | 0.3 pp | 0.3 pp | — |
| Results | ||||
| Walk rate | 11.4% | 9.7% | 10.0% | — |
| Strikeout rate | 28.3% | 27.2% | 29.3% | — |
| Usage | ||||
| Breaking-ball usage | — | 2.7% | 3.2% | — |
| All fastball usage | — | 52.4% | 52.5% | — |
| Primary fastball usage | — | 47.5% | 48.1% | — |
| Offspeed usage | — | 45.4% | 44.5% | — |
| Other pitch usage | — | 0.3% | 0.7% | — |
| First secondary usage | — | 42.5% | 43.7% | — |
| Second secondary usage | — | — * | — * | — |