Fastball horizontal break
- 2026 actual
- —
- SP forecast
- 13.1 in
- RP · chosen
- 13.1 in
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| Scenario | ERA | WHIP | K% | BB% | GB% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SP | 4.75 | 1.35 | 16.0% | 7.7% | 36.7% |
| RP · chosen | 4.29 | 1.31 | 18.1% | 8.0% | 38.7% |
| Component | 2026 actual | SP forecast | RP forecast | Chosen role |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raw stuff | ||||
| Fastball horizontal break | — | 13.1 in | 13.1 in | 13.1 in |
| Fastball induced vertical break | — | 11.4 in | 11.5 in | 11.5 in |
| Primary fastball velocity | — | 86.7 mph | 87.3 mph | 87.3 mph |
| First secondary movement | — | 9.8 in | 9.9 in | 9.9 in |
| Second secondary movement | — | 17.4 in | 17.5 in | 17.5 in |
| Stuff+ | 96 | 95 | 96 | 96 |
| Primary fastball Stuff+ | — | 88 | 90 | 90 |
| First secondary Stuff+ | — | 95 | 96 | 96 |
| Second secondary Stuff+ | — | 96 | 97 | 97 |
| Command | ||||
| PLoc+ | — | 104 | 104 | 104 |
| Zone rate | 50.1% | 49.5% | 49.3% | 49.3% |
| Hitter reaction | ||||
| Chase rate | 28.0% | 27.0% | 27.6% | 27.6% |
| Whiff rate | 25.0% | 21.5% | 23.2% | 23.2% |
| Contact | ||||
| Barrel rate | 3.6% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 5.7% |
| Ground-ball rate | 35.4% | 36.7% | 38.7% | 38.7% |
| Hard-hit rate | 25.0% | 34.4% | 31.9% | 31.9% |
| HR/FB above expected | — | -0.0 pp | -0.0 pp | -0.0 pp |
| Results | ||||
| Walk rate | 8.6% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 8.0% |
| Strikeout rate | 18.2% | 16.0% | 18.1% | 18.1% |
| Usage | ||||
| Breaking-ball usage | — | 20.1% | 20.6% | 20.6% |
| All fastball usage | — | 56.8% | 56.8% | 56.8% |
| Primary fastball usage | — | 15.4% | 15.9% | 15.9% |
| Offspeed usage | — | 22.9% | 22.0% | 22.0% |
| Other pitch usage | — | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.5% |
| First secondary usage | — | 24.8% | 26.1% | 26.1% |
| Second secondary usage | — | 22.3% | 21.5% | 21.5% |