Fastball horizontal break
- 2026 actual
- —
- SP · chosen
- 7.1 in
- RP forecast
- 7.0 in
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| Scenario | ERA | WHIP | K% | BB% | GB% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SP · chosen | 4.08 | 1.25 | 23.8% | 8.2% | 39.5% |
| RP | 3.62 | 1.21 | 25.9% | 8.5% | 41.5% |
| Component | 2026 actual | SP forecast | RP forecast | Chosen role |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raw stuff | ||||
| Fastball horizontal break | — | 7.1 in | 7.0 in | 7.1 in |
| Fastball induced vertical break | — | 16.7 in | 16.7 in | 16.7 in |
| Primary fastball velocity | — | 94.1 mph | 94.7 mph | 94.1 mph |
| First secondary movement | — | 17.6 in | 17.7 in | 17.6 in |
| Second secondary movement | — | 6.8 in | 6.9 in | 6.8 in |
| Stuff+ | 102 | 100 | 102 | 100 |
| Primary fastball Stuff+ | — | 104 | 106 | 104 |
| First secondary Stuff+ | — | 94 | 94 | 94 |
| Second secondary Stuff+ | — | 96 | 97 | 96 |
| Command | ||||
| PLoc+ | — | 106 | 106 | 106 |
| Zone rate | 42.5% | 45.0% | 44.8% | 45.0% |
| Hitter reaction | ||||
| Chase rate | 31.3% | 29.8% | 30.4% | 29.8% |
| Whiff rate | 26.1% | 27.2% | 29.0% | 27.2% |
| Contact | ||||
| Barrel rate | 5.8% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 7.4% |
| Ground-ball rate | 40.4% | 39.5% | 41.5% | 39.5% |
| Hard-hit rate | 37.2% | 37.9% | 35.4% | 37.9% |
| HR/FB above expected | — | 0.3 pp | 0.3 pp | 0.3 pp |
| Results | ||||
| Walk rate | 8.6% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 8.2% |
| Strikeout rate | 21.4% | 23.8% | 25.9% | 23.8% |
| Usage | ||||
| Breaking-ball usage | — | 25.5% | 26.1% | 25.5% |
| All fastball usage | — | 52.3% | 52.3% | 52.3% |
| Primary fastball usage | — | 48.7% | 49.3% | 48.7% |
| Offspeed usage | — | 22.9% | 22.0% | 22.9% |
| Other pitch usage | — | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| First secondary usage | — | 22.1% | 23.3% | 22.1% |
| Second secondary usage | — | 14.0% | 13.2% | 14.0% |