Fastball horizontal break
- 2026 actual
- —
- SP forecast
- 3.7 in
- RP forecast
- 3.7 in
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| Component | 2026 actual | SP forecast | RP forecast | Chosen role |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raw stuff | ||||
| Fastball horizontal break | — | 3.7 in | 3.7 in | — |
| Fastball induced vertical break | — | 16.3 in | 16.3 in | — |
| Primary fastball velocity | — | 95.6 mph | 96.2 mph | — |
| First secondary movement | — | 7.2 in | 7.3 in | — |
| Second secondary movement | — | — * | — * | — |
| Stuff+ | 94 | 98 | 99 | — |
| Primary fastball Stuff+ | — | 96 | 98 | — |
| First secondary Stuff+ | — | 99 | 100 | — |
| Second secondary Stuff+ | — | — * | — * | — |
| Command | ||||
| PLoc+ | — | — * | — * | — |
| Zone rate | 42.3% | 47.1% | 46.8% | — |
| Hitter reaction | ||||
| Chase rate | 22.0% | 26.9% | 27.5% | — |
| Whiff rate | 27.6% | 24.8% | 26.5% | — |
| Contact | ||||
| Barrel rate | 7.7% | 8.1% | 6.6% | — |
| Ground-ball rate | 30.8% | 37.1% | 39.1% | — |
| Hard-hit rate | 53.8% | 46.2% | 43.8% | — |
| HR/FB above expected | — | 0.1 pp | 0.1 pp | — |
| Results | ||||
| Walk rate | 11.1% | 9.6% | 9.9% | — |
| Strikeout rate | 16.7% | 18.4% | 20.4% | — |
| Usage | ||||
| Breaking-ball usage | — | 6.2% | 6.8% | — |
| All fastball usage | — | 58.8% | 58.8% | — |
| Primary fastball usage | — | 51.9% | 52.5% | — |
| Offspeed usage | — | 37.7% | 36.8% | — |
| Other pitch usage | — | 0.0% | 0.2% | — |
| First secondary usage | — | 34.2% | 35.4% | — |
| Second secondary usage | — | — * | — * | — |